Burnley vs Swansea

Sat 13 Feb, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 31 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Burnley win · Most likely 36.6%
Draw 28.6%
Swansea win 34.8%

Limited history for Burnley. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 52%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 71%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 46%Avg 51%
Burnley clean sheet 29%Avg 28%
Swansea clean sheet 28%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 58%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 45%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 72%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 52%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-010.0%
2-18.2%
2-06.3%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Burnley
  • Swansea

Did you know?

  • Burnley have won just 1 of their last 10 matches.
  • Burnley's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of Burnley's last 10 matches.
  • Burnley have failed to hold on to a half-time lead 4 of the last 5 times they've had one.

H2H

All 5 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
12 Sep 26 Swansea 3–1 Burnley
15 Mar 25 Swansea 0–2 Burnley
10 Nov 24 Burnley 1–0 Swansea
02 Jan 23 Swansea 1–2 Burnley
15 Oct 22 Burnley 4–0 Swansea
5meetings
  • Burnley win · 4 (80%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Swansea win · 1 (20%)
Avg. total goals 2.80 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 60% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 40% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 60% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 8.60 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 4.40 League avg: 3.82
Burnley avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.31
Swansea avg. goals 0.80 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Burnley 4–0 Swansea (15 Oct 22).

Burnley vs Swansea head to head: in the previous 5 meetings, Burnley have won 4 times, Swansea have won once and none ended in a draw. Burnley scored 10 goals and Swansea scored 4 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 12 Sep 2026, was won 3-1 by Swansea, at home against Burnley. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 5 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. Burnley kept 3 clean sheets.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Burnley
  • Plays on the floor
  • Open play side
Swansea
  • Selective shooters
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    49% 14th of 24 58% 3rd of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.10 xG a shot 13th of 24 0.13 xG a shot 1st of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    22% of xG 18th of 24 21% of xG 19th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    12% of shots 24th of 24 14% of shots 21st of 24

Where they differ

  • Swansea wait for better chances than Burnley, 0.13 xG a shot against 0.10.
  • Swansea see much more of the ball than Burnley, 58% against 49%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Burnley Swansea
13 (1.3 avg) Goals 14 (1.4 avg)
131 (13.1 avg) Total Shots 112 (11.2 avg)
39 (3.9 avg) Shots on Target 40 (4.0 avg)
42 (4.2 avg) Blocked Shots 35 (3.5 avg)
42 (4.2 avg) Corners 36 (3.6 avg)
708 (78.7 avg) Attacks 774 (86.0 avg)
346 (38.4 avg) Dangerous Attacks 358 (39.8 avg)
88 (8.8 avg) Key Passes 87 (8.7 avg)
4276 (427.6 avg) Passes 5544 (554.4 avg)
3391 (79%) Pass Accuracy 4632 (84%)
48% Ball Possession 60%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Burnley Swansea
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
19 (1.9 avg) Yellow Cards 13 (1.3 avg)
157 (15.7 avg) Tackles 182 (18.2 avg)
97 (9.7 avg) Fouls 101 (10.1 avg)
31 (3.4 avg) Offsides 22 (2.2 avg)
408 (40.8 avg) Duels Won 471 (47.1 avg)
107 (10.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 125 (12.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Burnley

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)

Swansea

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)