Casa Pia vs Arouca

Sat 01 May, 11:00 UTC · Matchweek 32 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Casa Pia win 29.6%
Draw 25.6%
Arouca win · Most likely 44.8%

Event markets

Both teams to score 47%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 66%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 42%Avg 52%
Casa Pia clean sheet 26%Avg 31%
Arouca clean sheet 35%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 34%Avg 57%
Over 9.5 corners 23%Avg 45%
Over 2.5 cards 91%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 80%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-114.1%
1-28.8%
0-28.1%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Casa Pia
  • Arouca

Did you know?

  • Casa Pia have won just 0 of their last 10 home matches.
  • Casa Pia have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Casa Pia's matches have stayed under 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
  • Casa Pia's matches have averaged 2.5 goals per game over their last 10.

H2H

All 8 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
14 Feb 26 Casa Pia 3–2 Arouca
14 Sep 25 Arouca 0–2 Casa Pia
04 May 25 Arouca 0–0 Casa Pia
20 Dec 24 Casa Pia 3–1 Arouca
18 Feb 24 Casa Pia 1–0 Arouca
17 Sep 23 Arouca 0–1 Casa Pia
25 Feb 23 Arouca 2–0 Casa Pia
04 Sep 22 Casa Pia 0–0 Arouca
8meetings
  • Casa Pia win · 5 (62%)
  • Draw · 2 (25%)
  • Arouca win · 1 (12%)
Avg. total goals 1.88 League avg: 2.63
Over 2.5 goals 25% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 25% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 40%
Avg. total corners 8.75 League avg: 9.28
Avg. total cards 6.00 League avg: 4.93
Casa Pia avg. goals 1.25 League avg: 1.32
Arouca avg. goals 0.62 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Arouca 0–2 Casa Pia (14 Sep 25).

Casa Pia vs Arouca head to head: in the previous 8 meetings, Casa Pia have won 5 times, Arouca have won once and 2 ended in a draw. Casa Pia scored 10 goals and Arouca scored 5 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 14 Feb 2026, was won 3-2 by Casa Pia, at home against Arouca. Casa Pia are unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 8 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Casa Pia kept 5 clean sheets and Arouca kept 3.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Casa Pia
  • Cedes possession
  • Shoots on sight
  • Plays on the floor
Arouca
  • Open play side
  • Crosses and headers
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    40% 18th of 18 52% 7th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.08 xG a shot 17th of 18 0.11 xG a shot 6th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    29% of xG 6th of 18 22% of xG 16th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    17% of shots 13th of 18 21% of shots 5th of 18

Where they differ

  • Arouca see much more of the ball than Casa Pia, 52% against 40%.
  • Arouca wait for better chances than Casa Pia, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.08.
  • Casa Pia get more of their chances from set pieces than Arouca, 29% against 22%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Casa Pia Arouca
6 (0.6 avg) Goals 12 (1.2 avg)
101 (10.1 avg) Total Shots 115 (11.5 avg)
27 (2.7 avg) Shots on Target 40 (4.0 avg)
22 (2.2 avg) Blocked Shots 20 (2.0 avg)
36 (3.6 avg) Corners 36 (3.6 avg)
538 (76.9 avg) Attacks 775 (86.1 avg)
255 (36.4 avg) Dangerous Attacks 395 (43.9 avg)
72 (7.2 avg) Key Passes 87 (8.7 avg)
3310 (331.0 avg) Passes 4894 (489.4 avg)
2535 (77%) Pass Accuracy 4237 (87%)
42% Ball Possession 53%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Casa Pia Arouca
2 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
21 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 26 (2.6 avg)
183 (18.3 avg) Tackles 143 (14.3 avg)
121 (12.1 avg) Fouls 111 (11.1 avg)
10 (1.1 avg) Offsides 9 (1.0 avg)
514 (51.4 avg) Duels Won 394 (39.4 avg)
159 (15.9 avg) Aerial Duels Won 103 (10.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Casa Pia

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)

Arouca

1.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)