Casa Pia vs Estrela Amadora

Sun 14 Mar, 11:00 UTC · Matchweek 26 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Casa Pia win 32.8%
Draw 25.4%
Estrela Amadora win · Most likely 41.8%

Event markets

Both teams to score 50%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 69%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 45%Avg 52%
Casa Pia clean sheet 26%Avg 31%
Estrela Amadora clean sheet 31%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 37%Avg 56%
Over 9.5 corners 25%Avg 44%
Over 2.5 cards 91%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 79%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-112.5%
1-28.7%
0-27.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Casa Pia
  • Estrela Amadora

Did you know?

  • Estrela Amadora have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • Casa Pia have won just 0 of their last 10 home matches.
  • Estrela Amadora's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Casa Pia have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.

H2H

All 7 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
24 Oct 26 Estrela Amadora 0–2 Casa Pia
20 Mar 26 Estrela Amadora 4–0 Casa Pia
01 Nov 25 Casa Pia 3–5 Estrela Amadora
09 Feb 25 Casa Pia 1–0 Estrela Amadora
31 Aug 24 Estrela Amadora 0–1 Casa Pia
08 Mar 24 Estrela Amadora 3–1 Casa Pia
08 Oct 23 Casa Pia 0–1 Estrela Amadora
7meetings
  • Casa Pia win · 3 (43%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Estrela Amadora win · 4 (57%)
Avg. total goals 3.00 League avg: 2.64
Over 2.5 goals 43% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 29% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 43% League avg: 41%
Avg. total corners 9.00 League avg: 9.24
Avg. total cards 3.86 League avg: 4.95
Casa Pia avg. goals 1.14 League avg: 1.32
Estrela Amadora avg. goals 1.86 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Estrela Amadora 4–0 Casa Pia (20 Mar 26).

Casa Pia vs Estrela Amadora head to head: in the previous 7 meetings, Casa Pia have won 3 times, Estrela Amadora have won 4 times and none ended in a draw. Casa Pia scored 8 goals and Estrela Amadora scored 13 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 24 Oct 2026, was won 2-0 by Casa Pia, away at Estrela Amadora. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 7 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. Casa Pia kept 3 clean sheets and Estrela Amadora kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Casa Pia
  • Cedes possession
  • Shoots on sight
  • Plays on the floor
Estrela Amadora
  • Open play side
  • Crosses and headers
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    40% 18th of 18 48% 10th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.08 xG a shot 17th of 18 0.11 xG a shot 7th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    30% of xG 6th of 18 22% of xG 14th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    16% of shots 14th of 18 20% of shots 6th of 18

Where they differ

  • Estrela Amadora wait for better chances than Casa Pia, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.08.
  • Estrela Amadora see much more of the ball than Casa Pia, 48% against 40%.
  • Casa Pia get more of their chances from set pieces than Estrela Amadora, 30% against 22%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Casa Pia Estrela Amadora
5 (0.5 avg) Goals 15 (1.5 avg)
99 (9.9 avg) Total Shots 131 (13.1 avg)
27 (2.7 avg) Shots on Target 40 (4.0 avg)
22 (2.2 avg) Blocked Shots 35 (3.5 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Corners 44 (4.4 avg)
460 (76.7 avg) Attacks 857 (85.7 avg)
224 (37.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks 443 (44.3 avg)
71 (7.1 avg) Key Passes 98 (9.8 avg)
3431 (343.1 avg) Passes 4190 (419.0 avg)
2697 (79%) Pass Accuracy 3489 (83%)
43% Ball Possession 52%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Casa Pia Estrela Amadora
2 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
22 (2.2 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)
170 (17.0 avg) Tackles 173 (17.3 avg)
121 (12.1 avg) Fouls 114 (11.4 avg)
11 (1.2 avg) Offsides 11 (1.6 avg)
505 (50.5 avg) Duels Won 480 (48.0 avg)
161 (16.1 avg) Aerial Duels Won 125 (12.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Casa Pia

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)

Estrela Amadora

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)