Casa Pia vs Nacional

Sun 13 Dec, 15:30 UTC · Matchweek 14 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Casa Pia win 35.5%
Draw 26.1%
Nacional win · Most likely 38.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 49%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 67%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 43%Avg 52%
Casa Pia clean sheet 29%Avg 31%
Nacional clean sheet 31%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 43%Avg 56%
Over 9.5 corners 30%Avg 44%
Over 2.5 cards 89%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 76%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-112.5%
1-28.1%
0-26.6%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Casa Pia
  • Nacional

Did you know?

  • Casa Pia have won just 0 of their last 10 home matches.
  • Casa Pia have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Nacional have picked up just 1.4 cards per game over their last 10, well below the league average of 2.6.
  • Casa Pia have failed to score in 7 of their last 10 matches.

H2H

All 4 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
08 Feb 26 Nacional 0–0 Casa Pia
30 Aug 25 Casa Pia 0–2 Nacional
16 Mar 25 Nacional 3–1 Casa Pia
25 Oct 24 Casa Pia 1–0 Nacional
4meetings
  • Casa Pia win · 1 (25%)
  • Draw · 1 (25%)
  • Nacional win · 2 (50%)
Avg. total goals 1.75 League avg: 2.64
Over 2.5 goals 25% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 25% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 41%
Avg. total corners 9.75 League avg: 9.24
Avg. total cards 4.75 League avg: 4.95
Casa Pia avg. goals 0.50 League avg: 1.32
Nacional avg. goals 1.25 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Casa Pia 0–2 Nacional (30 Aug 25).

Casa Pia vs Nacional head to head: in the previous 4 meetings, Casa Pia have won once, Nacional have won 2 times and 1 ended in a draw. Casa Pia scored 2 goals and Nacional scored 5 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 8 Feb 2026, ended 0-0 at Nacional. Nacional are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 1 of 4 and 1 had over 2.5 goals. Casa Pia kept 2 clean sheets and Nacional kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Casa Pia
  • Cedes possession
  • Shoots on sight
  • Plays on the floor
Nacional
  • Crosses and headers
  • Shoots on sight
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    40% 18th of 18 48% 10th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.08 xG a shot 17th of 18 0.09 xG a shot 16th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    30% of xG 6th of 18 29% of xG 7th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    16% of shots 14th of 18 23% of shots 2nd of 18

Where they differ

  • Nacional go more through the air than Casa Pia, 23% of shots against 16%.
  • Nacional see much more of the ball than Casa Pia, 48% against 40%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Casa Pia Nacional
5 (0.5 avg) Goals 10 (1.0 avg)
99 (9.9 avg) Total Shots 100 (10.0 avg)
27 (2.7 avg) Shots on Target 30 (3.0 avg)
22 (2.2 avg) Blocked Shots 23 (2.3 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Corners 41 (4.1 avg)
460 (76.7 avg) Attacks 682 (75.8 avg)
224 (37.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks 314 (34.9 avg)
71 (7.1 avg) Key Passes 78 (7.8 avg)
3431 (343.1 avg) Passes 3818 (381.8 avg)
2697 (79%) Pass Accuracy 3080 (81%)
43% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Casa Pia Nacional
2 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
22 (2.2 avg) Yellow Cards 15 (1.5 avg)
170 (17.0 avg) Tackles 170 (17.0 avg)
121 (12.1 avg) Fouls 117 (11.7 avg)
11 (1.2 avg) Offsides 12 (1.2 avg)
505 (50.5 avg) Duels Won 491 (49.1 avg)
161 (16.1 avg) Aerial Duels Won 154 (15.4 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Casa Pia

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)

Nacional

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)