Chelsea vs Arsenal

Sat 13 Mar, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 29 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Chelsea win 27.5%
Draw 27.3%
Arsenal win · Most likely 45.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 58%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 78%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 54%Avg 56%
Chelsea clean sheet 20%Avg 26%
Arsenal clean sheet 29%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 76%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 65%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 72%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 51%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-29.4%
0-18.7%
0-27.4%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Chelsea
  • Arsenal

Did you know?

  • Chelsea's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Arsenal beat Chelsea 5-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Chelsea have outscored their xG by 0.65 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Arsenal have won 9 of their last 10 matches (all competitions).

H2H

All 17 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
06 Sep 26 Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea
01 Mar 26 Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea
30 Nov 25 Chelsea 1–1 Arsenal
16 Mar 25 Arsenal 1–0 Chelsea
10 Nov 24 Chelsea 1–1 Arsenal
23 Apr 24 Arsenal 5–0 Chelsea
21 Oct 23 Chelsea 2–2 Arsenal
02 May 23 Arsenal 3–1 Chelsea
06 Nov 22 Chelsea 0–1 Arsenal
20 Apr 22 Chelsea 2–4 Arsenal
22 Aug 21 Arsenal 0–2 Chelsea
12 May 21 Chelsea 0–1 Arsenal
26 Dec 20 Arsenal 3–1 Chelsea
21 Jan 20 Chelsea 2–2 Arsenal
29 Dec 19 Arsenal 1–2 Chelsea
19 Jan 19 Arsenal 2–0 Chelsea
18 Aug 18 Chelsea 3–2 Arsenal
17meetings
  • Chelsea win · 3 (18%)
  • Draw · 4 (24%)
  • Arsenal win · 10 (59%)
Avg. total goals 3.06 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 59% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 65% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 47% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 10.18 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 4.59 League avg: 3.91
Chelsea avg. goals 1.12 League avg: 1.42
Arsenal avg. goals 1.94 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Arsenal 5–0 Chelsea (23 Apr 24).

Chelsea vs Arsenal head to head: in the previous 17 meetings, Chelsea have won 3 times, Arsenal have won 10 times and 4 ended in a draw. Chelsea scored 19 goals and Arsenal scored 33 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 6 Sep 2026, was won 2-1 by Arsenal, at home against Chelsea. Arsenal are unbeaten in the last 10 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 11 of 17 and 10 had over 2.5 goals. Chelsea kept 1 clean sheet and Arsenal kept 5.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Chelsea Arsenal
17 (2.4 avg) Goals 10 (1.7 avg)
100 (14.3 avg) Total Shots 77 (12.8 avg)
39 (5.6 avg) Shots on Target 30 (5.0 avg)
30 (4.3 avg) Blocked Shots 25 (4.2 avg)
41 (5.9 avg) Corners 27 (4.5 avg)
653 (93.3 avg) Attacks 583 (97.2 avg)
302 (43.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 317 (52.8 avg)
76 (10.9 avg) Key Passes 65 (10.8 avg)
2985 (426.4 avg) Passes 3003 (500.5 avg)
2492 (83%) Pass Accuracy 2599 (87%)
48% Ball Possession 59%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Chelsea Arsenal
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
13 (1.9 avg) Yellow Cards 8 (1.3 avg)
108 (15.4 avg) Tackles 71 (11.8 avg)
65 (9.3 avg) Fouls 62 (10.3 avg)
8 (1.3 avg) Offsides 26 (4.3 avg)
348 (49.7 avg) Duels Won 286 (47.7 avg)
111 (15.9 avg) Aerial Duels Won 91 (15.2 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Chelsea

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)

Arsenal

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 10 (100%)
  • Over · 0 (0%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
CS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)