Estrela Amadora vs Moreirense

Sun 21 Mar, 11:00 UTC · Matchweek 27 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Estrela Amadora win · Most likely 45.3%
Draw 24.9%
Moreirense win 29.8%

Event markets

Both teams to score 51%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 71%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 46%Avg 52%
Estrela Amadora clean sheet 32%Avg 31%
Moreirense clean sheet 24%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 37%Avg 56%
Over 9.5 corners 25%Avg 44%
Over 2.5 cards 88%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 74%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-012.5%
2-19.1%
2-07.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Estrela Amadora
  • Moreirense

Did you know?

  • Estrela Amadora have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • Estrela Amadora's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Estrela Amadora have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Estrela Amadora have won just 2 of their last 10 home matches.

H2H

All 7 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
31 Oct 26 Moreirense 2–1 Estrela Amadora
02 May 26 Moreirense 3–2 Estrela Amadora
20 Dec 25 Estrela Amadora 0–0 Moreirense
02 Mar 25 Moreirense 1–1 Estrela Amadora
28 Sep 24 Estrela Amadora 2–1 Moreirense
07 Apr 24 Moreirense 2–2 Estrela Amadora
11 Nov 23 Estrela Amadora 0–1 Moreirense
7meetings
  • Estrela Amadora win · 1 (14%)
  • Draw · 3 (43%)
  • Moreirense win · 3 (43%)
Avg. total goals 2.57 League avg: 2.63
Over 2.5 goals 57% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 71% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 43% League avg: 41%
Avg. total corners 7.14 League avg: 9.24
Avg. total cards 6.00 League avg: 4.95
Estrela Amadora avg. goals 1.14 League avg: 1.32
Moreirense avg. goals 1.43 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Moreirense 2–1 Estrela Amadora (31 Oct 26).

Estrela Amadora vs Moreirense head to head: in the previous 7 meetings, Estrela Amadora have won once, Moreirense have won 3 times and 3 ended in a draw. Estrela Amadora scored 8 goals and Moreirense scored 10 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 31 Oct 2026, was won 2-1 by Moreirense, at home against Estrela Amadora. Moreirense are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 7 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Estrela Amadora kept 1 clean sheet and Moreirense kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Estrela Amadora
  • Open play side
  • Selective shooters
  • Crosses and headers
Moreirense
  • Cedes possession
  • Shoots on sight
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    48% 10th of 18 43% 17th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 6th of 18 0.09 xG a shot 15th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    22% of xG 15th of 18 32% of xG 5th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    20% of shots 6th of 18 15% of shots 15th of 18

Where they differ

  • Moreirense get more of their chances from set pieces than Estrela Amadora, 32% against 22%.
  • Estrela Amadora wait for better chances than Moreirense, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Estrela Amadora go more through the air than Moreirense, 20% of shots against 15%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Estrela Amadora Moreirense
15 (1.5 avg) Goals 11 (1.1 avg)
131 (13.1 avg) Total Shots 89 (8.9 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Shots on Target 29 (2.9 avg)
35 (3.5 avg) Blocked Shots 19 (1.9 avg)
44 (4.4 avg) Corners 25 (2.5 avg)
857 (85.7 avg) Attacks 458 (65.4 avg)
443 (44.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks 197 (28.1 avg)
98 (9.8 avg) Key Passes 61 (6.1 avg)
4190 (419.0 avg) Passes 3312 (331.2 avg)
3489 (83%) Pass Accuracy 2537 (77%)
52% Ball Possession 38%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Estrela Amadora Moreirense
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
21 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 18 (1.8 avg)
173 (17.3 avg) Tackles 166 (16.6 avg)
114 (11.4 avg) Fouls 126 (12.6 avg)
11 (1.6 avg) Offsides 10 (1.1 avg)
480 (48.0 avg) Duels Won 486 (48.6 avg)
125 (12.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 126 (12.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Estrela Amadora

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Moreirense

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (78%)
  • Over · 2 (22%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)