Estrela Amadora vs Vitoria Guimaraes

Sat 10 Apr, 11:00 UTC · Matchweek 29 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Estrela Amadora win 35.8%
Draw 24.7%
Vitoria Guimaraes win · Most likely 39.5%

Event markets

Both teams to score 52%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 71%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 47%Avg 52%
Estrela Amadora clean sheet 26%Avg 31%
Vitoria Guimaraes clean sheet 28%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 50%Avg 57%
Over 9.5 corners 37%Avg 45%
Over 2.5 cards 89%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 75%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-111.6%
1-28.4%
0-26.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Estrela Amadora
  • Vitoria Guimaraes

Did you know?

  • Estrela Amadora have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • Vitoria Guimaraes have not lost to Estrela Amadora in their last 6 meetings.
  • Estrela Amadora's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Vitoria Guimaraes have won just 1 of their last 10 away matches.

H2H

6meetings
  • Estrela Amadora win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 1 (17%)
  • Vitoria Guimaraes win · 5 (83%)
Avg. total goals 2.50 League avg: 2.63
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 33% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 40%
Avg. total corners 9.83 League avg: 9.28
Avg. total cards 4.17 League avg: 4.93
Estrela Amadora avg. goals 0.50 League avg: 1.32
Vitoria Guimaraes avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Vitoria Guimaraes 3–0 Estrela Amadora (21 Jan 24).

Estrela Amadora vs Vitoria Guimaraes head to head: in the previous 6 meetings, Estrela Amadora have not won, Vitoria Guimaraes have won 5 times and 1 ended in a draw. Estrela Amadora scored 3 goals and Vitoria Guimaraes scored 12 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 14 Feb 2026, was won 2-1 by Vitoria Guimaraes, at home against Estrela Amadora. Vitoria Guimaraes are unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 6 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. Vitoria Guimaraes kept 4.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Estrela Amadora
  • Crosses and headers
  • Selective shooters
  • Open play side
Vitoria Guimaraes
  • Crosses and headers
  • Keeps the ball
  • Shoots on sight
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    47% 13th of 18 55% 5th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 5th of 18 0.09 xG a shot 13th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    22% of xG 14th of 18 23% of xG 12th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    21% of shots 3rd of 18 22% of shots 2nd of 18

Where they differ

  • Vitoria Guimaraes see much more of the ball than Estrela Amadora, 55% against 47%.
  • Estrela Amadora wait for better chances than Vitoria Guimaraes, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Estrela Amadora Vitoria Guimaraes
15 (1.5 avg) Goals 11 (1.1 avg)
130 (13.0 avg) Total Shots 161 (16.1 avg)
39 (3.9 avg) Shots on Target 46 (4.6 avg)
33 (3.3 avg) Blocked Shots 37 (3.7 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Corners 54 (5.4 avg)
839 (83.9 avg) Attacks N/A
438 (43.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks N/A
96 (9.6 avg) Key Passes 118 (11.8 avg)
4180 (418.0 avg) Passes 4342 (434.2 avg)
3487 (83%) Pass Accuracy 3515 (81%)
51% Ball Possession 53%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Estrela Amadora Vitoria Guimaraes
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
21 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 26 (2.6 avg)
166 (16.6 avg) Tackles 174 (17.4 avg)
116 (11.6 avg) Fouls 166 (16.6 avg)
10 (1.4 avg) Offsides 13 (1.3 avg)
461 (46.1 avg) Duels Won 507 (50.7 avg)
118 (11.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 165 (16.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Estrela Amadora

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Vitoria Guimaraes

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)