Hearts vs Celtic

Sun 29 Nov, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 15 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Hearts win 29.5%
Draw 23.6%
Celtic win · Most likely 46.9%

Event markets

Both teams to score 61%Avg 53%
Over 1.5 goals 80%Avg 78%
Over 2.5 goals 58%Avg 56%
Hearts clean sheet 18%Avg 32%
Celtic clean sheet 26%Avg 20%
Over 8.5 corners 89%Avg 74%
Over 9.5 corners 82%Avg 62%
Over 2.5 cards 70%Avg 76%
Over 3.5 cards 49%Avg 55%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-29.3%
0-18.7%
0-26.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Hearts
  • Celtic

Did you know?

  • Hearts's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Hearts have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Celtic beat Hearts 7-1 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Hearts have won 9 of their last 10 home matches.

H2H

All 20 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
18 Oct 26 Celtic 7–1 Hearts
16 May 26 Celtic 3–1 Hearts
25 Jan 26 Hearts 2–2 Celtic
07 Dec 25 Celtic 1–2 Hearts
26 Oct 25 Hearts 3–1 Celtic
29 Mar 25 Celtic 3–0 Hearts
23 Nov 24 Hearts 1–4 Celtic
14 Sep 24 Celtic 2–0 Hearts
04 May 24 Celtic 3–0 Hearts
03 Mar 24 Hearts 2–0 Celtic
16 Dec 23 Celtic 0–2 Hearts
22 Oct 23 Hearts 1–4 Celtic
07 May 23 Hearts 0–2 Celtic
08 Mar 23 Celtic 3–1 Hearts
22 Oct 22 Hearts 3–4 Celtic
21 Aug 22 Celtic 2–0 Hearts
07 May 22 Celtic 4–1 Hearts
26 Jan 22 Hearts 1–2 Celtic
02 Dec 21 Celtic 1–0 Hearts
31 Jul 21 Hearts 2–1 Celtic
20meetings
  • Hearts win · 5 (25%)
  • Draw · 1 (5%)
  • Celtic win · 14 (70%)
Avg. total goals 3.60 League avg: 2.87
Over 2.5 goals 70% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 60% League avg: 53%
Whoever hosts wins 60% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 11.50 League avg: 10.63
Avg. total cards 3.45 League avg: 4.00
Hearts avg. goals 1.15 League avg: 1.43
Celtic avg. goals 2.45 League avg: 1.43

Biggest win: Celtic 7–1 Hearts (18 Oct 26).

Hearts vs Celtic head to head: in the previous 20 meetings, Hearts have won 5 times, Celtic have won 14 times and 1 ended in a draw. Hearts scored 23 goals and Celtic scored 49 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 18 Oct 2026, was won 7-1 by Celtic, at home against Hearts. Celtic are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 12 of 20 and 14 had over 2.5 goals. Hearts kept 2 clean sheets and Celtic kept 6.

How they play

Each line runs across the 12 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Hearts
  • Shoots on sight
  • Keeps the ball
  • Set piece heavy
Celtic
  • Keeps the ball
  • Selective shooters
  • Open play side
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    54% 4th of 12 61% 1st of 12
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.10 xG a shot 11th of 12 0.13 xG a shot 1st of 12
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    31% of xG 4th of 12 13% of xG 12th of 12
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    19% of shots 5th of 12 14% of shots 11th of 12

Where they differ

  • Celtic wait for better chances than Hearts, 0.13 xG a shot against 0.10.
  • Hearts get more of their chances from set pieces than Celtic, 31% against 13%.
  • Hearts go more through the air than Celtic, 19% of shots against 14%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Hearts Celtic
23 (2.3 avg) Goals 21 (2.1 avg)
162 (16.2 avg) Total Shots 200 (20.0 avg)
55 (5.5 avg) Shots on Target 84 (8.4 avg)
48 (4.8 avg) Blocked Shots 54 (5.4 avg)
65 (6.5 avg) Corners 98 (9.8 avg)
762 (76.2 avg) Attacks 1024 (102.4 avg)
466 (46.6 avg) Dangerous Attacks 627 (62.7 avg)
126 (12.6 avg) Key Passes 156 (15.6 avg)
4489 (448.9 avg) Passes 5930 (593.0 avg)
3617 (81%) Pass Accuracy 5205 (88%)
53% Ball Possession 61%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Hearts Celtic
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
18 (1.8 avg) Yellow Cards 20 (2.0 avg)
177 (17.7 avg) Tackles 162 (16.2 avg)
118 (11.8 avg) Fouls 116 (11.6 avg)
15 (1.7 avg) Offsides 16 (1.6 avg)
605 (60.5 avg) Duels Won 525 (52.5 avg)
208 (20.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 173 (17.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Hearts

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Celtic

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)