Leeds vs Aston Villa

Sat 20 Feb, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 26 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Leeds win · Most likely 42.0%
Draw 28.5%
Aston Villa win 29.5%

Event markets

Both teams to score 56%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 75%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 50%Avg 56%
Leeds clean sheet 29%Avg 26%
Aston Villa clean sheet 23%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 64%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 51%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 69%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 48%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-09.2%
2-19.1%
2-07.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Leeds
  • Aston Villa

Did you know?

  • Aston Villa's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
  • Aston Villa have won just 3 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Leeds beat Aston Villa 0-3 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Aston Villa's matches have produced over 3.5 goals in 5 of their last 10.

H2H

All 8 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
21 Feb 26 Aston Villa 1–1 Leeds
23 Nov 25 Leeds 1–2 Aston Villa
13 Jan 23 Aston Villa 2–1 Leeds
02 Oct 22 Leeds 0–0 Aston Villa
10 Mar 22 Leeds 0–3 Aston Villa
09 Feb 22 Aston Villa 3–3 Leeds
27 Feb 21 Leeds 0–1 Aston Villa
23 Oct 20 Aston Villa 0–3 Leeds
8meetings
  • Leeds win · 1 (12%)
  • Draw · 3 (38%)
  • Aston Villa win · 4 (50%)
Avg. total goals 2.62 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 62% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 12% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 10.62 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 5.38 League avg: 3.91
Leeds avg. goals 1.12 League avg: 1.42
Aston Villa avg. goals 1.50 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Leeds 0–3 Aston Villa (10 Mar 22).

Leeds vs Aston Villa head to head: in the previous 8 meetings, Leeds have won once, Aston Villa have won 4 times and 3 ended in a draw. Leeds scored 9 goals and Aston Villa scored 12 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 21 Feb 2026, ended 1-1 at Aston Villa. Aston Villa are unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 8 and 5 had over 2.5 goals. Leeds kept 2 clean sheets and Aston Villa kept 3.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Leeds Aston Villa
8 (1.3 avg) Goals 7 (1.0 avg)
72 (12.0 avg) Total Shots 83 (11.9 avg)
23 (3.8 avg) Shots on Target 22 (3.1 avg)
27 (4.5 avg) Blocked Shots 26 (3.7 avg)
26 (4.3 avg) Corners 22 (3.1 avg)
566 (94.3 avg) Attacks 616 (88.0 avg)
209 (34.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks 264 (37.7 avg)
41 (6.8 avg) Key Passes 64 (9.1 avg)
2157 (359.5 avg) Passes 2858 (408.3 avg)
1666 (77%) Pass Accuracy 2371 (83%)
44% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Leeds Aston Villa
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
11 (1.8 avg) Yellow Cards 14 (2.0 avg)
99 (16.5 avg) Tackles 121 (17.3 avg)
73 (12.2 avg) Fouls 75 (10.7 avg)
15 (2.5 avg) Offsides 7 (1.0 avg)
342 (57.0 avg) Duels Won 327 (46.7 avg)
126 (21.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 70 (10.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Leeds

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Aston Villa

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)