Middlesbrough vs Burnley

Tue 20 Apr, 18:45 UTC · Matchweek 44 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Middlesbrough win · Most likely 57.1%
Draw 23.1%
Burnley win 19.8%

Limited history for Burnley. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 58%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 81%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 58%Avg 51%
Middlesbrough clean sheet 33%Avg 28%
Burnley clean sheet 14%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 84%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 76%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 59%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 37%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.9%
1-09.1%
2-08.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Middlesbrough
  • Burnley

Did you know?

  • Burnley have not lost to Middlesbrough in their last 5 meetings.
  • Burnley have won just 1 of their last 10 matches.
  • Burnley's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of Burnley's last 10 matches.

H2H

All 5 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
02 Sep 26 Burnley 1–1 Middlesbrough
29 Dec 24 Middlesbrough 0–0 Burnley
06 Dec 24 Burnley 1–1 Middlesbrough
07 Apr 23 Middlesbrough 1–2 Burnley
17 Dec 22 Burnley 3–1 Middlesbrough
5meetings
  • Middlesbrough win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 3 (60%)
  • Burnley win · 2 (40%)
Avg. total goals 2.20 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 40% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 80% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 20% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 6.60 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 3.00 League avg: 3.82
Middlesbrough avg. goals 0.80 League avg: 1.31
Burnley avg. goals 1.40 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Burnley 3–1 Middlesbrough (17 Dec 22).

Middlesbrough vs Burnley head to head: in the previous 5 meetings, Middlesbrough have not won, Burnley have won 2 times and 3 ended in a draw. Middlesbrough scored 4 goals and Burnley scored 7 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 2 Sep 2026, ended 1-1 at Burnley. Burnley are unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 5 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Middlesbrough kept 1 clean sheet and Burnley kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Middlesbrough
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
Burnley
  • Plays on the floor
  • Open play side
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    59% 2nd of 24 48% 16th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 8th of 24 0.11 xG a shot 13th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    23% of xG 14th of 24 22% of xG 18th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    14% of shots 20th of 24 12% of shots 24th of 24

Where they differ

  • Middlesbrough see much more of the ball than Burnley, 59% against 48%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Middlesbrough Burnley
22 (2.2 avg) Goals 16 (1.6 avg)
201 (20.1 avg) Total Shots 138 (13.8 avg)
68 (6.8 avg) Shots on Target 45 (4.5 avg)
64 (6.4 avg) Blocked Shots 43 (4.3 avg)
66 (6.6 avg) Corners 44 (4.4 avg)
896 (89.6 avg) Attacks 697 (77.4 avg)
537 (53.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 351 (39.0 avg)
145 (16.1 avg) Key Passes 82 (9.1 avg)
5387 (538.7 avg) Passes 4096 (409.6 avg)
4678 (87%) Pass Accuracy 3225 (79%)
61% Ball Possession 46%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Middlesbrough Burnley
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
13 (1.3 avg) Yellow Cards 19 (1.9 avg)
155 (15.5 avg) Tackles 153 (15.3 avg)
89 (8.9 avg) Fouls 94 (9.4 avg)
26 (2.6 avg) Offsides 30 (3.3 avg)
397 (44.1 avg) Duels Won 367 (40.8 avg)
114 (12.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 96 (10.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Middlesbrough

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Burnley

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (78%)
  • Over · 2 (22%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)