Moreirense vs Nacional

Sat 01 May, 11:00 UTC · Matchweek 32 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Moreirense win · Most likely 37.1%
Draw 26.3%
Nacional win 36.6%

Event markets

Both teams to score 47%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 65%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 41%Avg 52%
Moreirense clean sheet 31%Avg 31%
Nacional clean sheet 31%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 42%Avg 56%
Over 9.5 corners 30%Avg 44%
Over 2.5 cards 85%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 69%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-013.0%
2-17.8%
2-06.4%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Moreirense
  • Nacional

Did you know?

  • Moreirense have conceded in each of their last 8 matches.
  • Nacional have not lost to Moreirense in their last 4 meetings.
  • Nacional have won just 1 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Nacional have picked up just 1.2 cards per game over their last 10, well below the league average of 2.5.

H2H

All 4 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
07 Mar 26 Moreirense 1–1 Nacional
04 Oct 25 Nacional 3–2 Moreirense
27 Apr 25 Moreirense 1–1 Nacional
14 Dec 24 Nacional 1–0 Moreirense
4meetings
  • Moreirense win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 2 (50%)
  • Nacional win · 2 (50%)
Avg. total goals 2.50 League avg: 2.63
Over 2.5 goals 25% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 75% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 40%
Avg. total corners 9.00 League avg: 9.24
Avg. total cards 3.75 League avg: 4.95
Moreirense avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.32
Nacional avg. goals 1.50 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Nacional 3–2 Moreirense (04 Oct 25).

Moreirense vs Nacional head to head: in the previous 4 meetings, Moreirense have not won, Nacional have won 2 times and 2 ended in a draw. Moreirense scored 4 goals and Nacional scored 6 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 7 Mar 2026, ended 1-1 at Moreirense. Nacional are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 4 and 1 had over 2.5 goals. Nacional kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Moreirense
  • Cedes possession
  • Shoots on sight
  • Plays on the floor
Nacional
  • Crosses and headers
  • Shoots on sight
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    43% 17th of 18 48% 11th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 16th of 18 0.09 xG a shot 15th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    32% of xG 5th of 18 28% of xG 8th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    15% of shots 15th of 18 21% of shots 4th of 18

Where they differ

  • Nacional go more through the air than Moreirense, 21% of shots against 15%.
  • Nacional see much more of the ball than Moreirense, 48% against 43%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Moreirense Nacional
11 (1.1 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
89 (8.9 avg) Total Shots 109 (10.9 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Shots on Target 32 (3.2 avg)
19 (1.9 avg) Blocked Shots 29 (2.9 avg)
25 (2.5 avg) Corners 43 (4.3 avg)
458 (65.4 avg) Attacks 672 (74.7 avg)
197 (28.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 316 (35.1 avg)
61 (6.1 avg) Key Passes 83 (8.3 avg)
3312 (331.2 avg) Passes 3786 (378.6 avg)
2537 (77%) Pass Accuracy 3061 (81%)
38% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Moreirense Nacional
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
18 (1.8 avg) Yellow Cards 16 (1.6 avg)
166 (16.6 avg) Tackles 175 (17.5 avg)
126 (12.6 avg) Fouls 111 (11.1 avg)
10 (1.1 avg) Offsides 12 (1.2 avg)
486 (48.6 avg) Duels Won 476 (47.6 avg)
126 (12.6 avg) Aerial Duels Won 143 (14.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Moreirense

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (78%)
  • Over · 2 (22%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Nacional

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)