Nacional vs Casa Pia

Sat 24 Apr, 11:00 UTC · Matchweek 31 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Nacional win · Most likely 46.3%
Draw 24.6%
Casa Pia win 29.1%

Event markets

Both teams to score 52%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 71%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 48%Avg 52%
Nacional clean sheet 32%Avg 31%
Casa Pia clean sheet 23%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 57%Avg 56%
Over 9.5 corners 44%Avg 44%
Over 2.5 cards 87%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 73%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-012.3%
2-19.2%
2-07.9%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Nacional
  • Casa Pia

Did you know?

  • Nacional have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Nacional have picked up just 1.4 cards per game over their last 10, well below the league average of 2.6.
  • Casa Pia's matches have stayed under 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
  • Casa Pia have won just 3 of their last 10 away matches.

H2H

All 4 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
08 Feb 26 Nacional 0–0 Casa Pia
30 Aug 25 Casa Pia 0–2 Nacional
16 Mar 25 Nacional 3–1 Casa Pia
25 Oct 24 Casa Pia 1–0 Nacional
4meetings
  • Nacional win · 2 (50%)
  • Draw · 1 (25%)
  • Casa Pia win · 1 (25%)
Avg. total goals 1.75 League avg: 2.63
Over 2.5 goals 25% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 25% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 41%
Avg. total corners 9.75 League avg: 9.24
Avg. total cards 4.75 League avg: 4.95
Nacional avg. goals 1.25 League avg: 1.32
Casa Pia avg. goals 0.50 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Casa Pia 0–2 Nacional (30 Aug 25).

Nacional vs Casa Pia head to head: in the previous 4 meetings, Nacional have won 2 times, Casa Pia have won once and 1 ended in a draw. Nacional scored 5 goals and Casa Pia scored 2 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 8 Feb 2026, ended 0-0 at Nacional. Nacional are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 1 of 4 and 1 had over 2.5 goals. Nacional kept 2 clean sheets and Casa Pia kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Nacional
  • Crosses and headers
  • Shoots on sight
Casa Pia
  • Cedes possession
  • Shoots on sight
  • Set piece heavy
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    48% 10th of 18 40% 18th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 16th of 18 0.08 xG a shot 17th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    29% of xG 7th of 18 30% of xG 6th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    23% of shots 2nd of 18 17% of shots 11th of 18

Where they differ

  • Nacional go more through the air than Casa Pia, 23% of shots against 17%.
  • Nacional see much more of the ball than Casa Pia, 48% against 40%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Nacional Casa Pia
10 (1.0 avg) Goals 6 (0.6 avg)
100 (10.0 avg) Total Shots 101 (10.1 avg)
30 (3.0 avg) Shots on Target 27 (2.7 avg)
23 (2.3 avg) Blocked Shots 22 (2.2 avg)
41 (4.1 avg) Corners 36 (3.6 avg)
682 (75.8 avg) Attacks 538 (76.9 avg)
314 (34.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 255 (36.4 avg)
78 (7.8 avg) Key Passes 72 (7.2 avg)
3818 (381.8 avg) Passes 3308 (330.8 avg)
3080 (81%) Pass Accuracy 2531 (76%)
47% Ball Possession 42%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Nacional Casa Pia
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
15 (1.5 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)
170 (17.0 avg) Tackles 182 (18.2 avg)
117 (11.7 avg) Fouls 121 (12.1 avg)
12 (1.2 avg) Offsides 10 (1.1 avg)
491 (49.1 avg) Duels Won 514 (51.4 avg)
154 (15.4 avg) Aerial Duels Won 159 (15.9 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Nacional

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Casa Pia

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)