Nacional vs Moreirense

Sun 20 Dec, 11:00 UTC · Matchweek 15 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Nacional win · Most likely 44.3%
Draw 24.7%
Moreirense win 31.0%

Event markets

Both teams to score 50%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 70%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 46%Avg 52%
Nacional clean sheet 32%Avg 31%
Moreirense clean sheet 25%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 42%Avg 56%
Over 9.5 corners 29%Avg 44%
Over 2.5 cards 89%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 76%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-012.8%
2-19.0%
2-07.6%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Nacional
  • Moreirense

Did you know?

  • Moreirense have conceded in each of their last 8 matches.
  • Nacional have not lost to Moreirense in their last 4 meetings.
  • Nacional have picked up just 1.2 cards per game over their last 10, well below the league average of 2.5.
  • Moreirense have won just 2 of their last 10 away matches.

H2H

All 4 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
07 Mar 26 Moreirense 1–1 Nacional
04 Oct 25 Nacional 3–2 Moreirense
27 Apr 25 Moreirense 1–1 Nacional
14 Dec 24 Nacional 1–0 Moreirense
4meetings
  • Nacional win · 2 (50%)
  • Draw · 2 (50%)
  • Moreirense win · 0 (0%)
Avg. total goals 2.50 League avg: 2.63
Over 2.5 goals 25% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 75% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 40%
Avg. total corners 9.00 League avg: 9.24
Avg. total cards 3.75 League avg: 4.95
Nacional avg. goals 1.50 League avg: 1.32
Moreirense avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Nacional 3–2 Moreirense (04 Oct 25).

Nacional vs Moreirense head to head: in the previous 4 meetings, Nacional have won 2 times, Moreirense have not won and 2 ended in a draw. Nacional scored 6 goals and Moreirense scored 4 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 7 Mar 2026, ended 1-1 at Moreirense. Nacional are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 4 and 1 had over 2.5 goals. Nacional kept 1 clean sheet.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Nacional
  • Crosses and headers
  • Shoots on sight
Moreirense
  • Cedes possession
  • Shoots on sight
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    48% 11th of 18 43% 17th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 15th of 18 0.09 xG a shot 16th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    28% of xG 8th of 18 32% of xG 5th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    21% of shots 4th of 18 15% of shots 15th of 18

Where they differ

  • Nacional go more through the air than Moreirense, 21% of shots against 15%.
  • Nacional see much more of the ball than Moreirense, 48% against 43%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Nacional Moreirense
9 (0.9 avg) Goals 11 (1.1 avg)
109 (10.9 avg) Total Shots 89 (8.9 avg)
32 (3.2 avg) Shots on Target 29 (2.9 avg)
30 (3.0 avg) Blocked Shots 19 (1.9 avg)
43 (4.3 avg) Corners 25 (2.5 avg)
672 (74.7 avg) Attacks 458 (65.4 avg)
316 (35.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 197 (28.1 avg)
83 (8.3 avg) Key Passes 61 (6.1 avg)
3787 (378.7 avg) Passes 3312 (331.2 avg)
3062 (81%) Pass Accuracy 2537 (77%)
47% Ball Possession 38%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Nacional Moreirense
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
16 (1.6 avg) Yellow Cards 18 (1.8 avg)
175 (17.5 avg) Tackles 166 (16.6 avg)
111 (11.1 avg) Fouls 126 (12.6 avg)
12 (1.2 avg) Offsides 10 (1.1 avg)
476 (47.6 avg) Duels Won 486 (48.6 avg)
143 (14.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 126 (12.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Nacional

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)

Moreirense

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (78%)
  • Over · 2 (22%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)