Nacional vs Vitoria Guimaraes

Sun 31 Jan, 11:00 UTC · Matchweek 20 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Nacional win 33.1%
Draw 25.2%
Vitoria Guimaraes win · Most likely 41.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 51%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 71%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 47%Avg 52%
Nacional clean sheet 25%Avg 31%
Vitoria Guimaraes clean sheet 30%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 57%Avg 56%
Over 9.5 corners 44%Avg 44%
Over 2.5 cards 90%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 77%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-111.9%
1-28.7%
0-27.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Nacional
  • Vitoria Guimaraes

Did you know?

  • Vitoria Guimaraes have won just 1 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Nacional have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Nacional have picked up just 1.4 cards per game over their last 10, well below the league average of 2.6.
  • Vitoria Guimaraes have underscored their xG by 0.50 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.

H2H

All 5 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
23 Aug 26 Vitoria Guimaraes 1–0 Nacional
16 May 26 Nacional 2–0 Vitoria Guimaraes
02 Jan 26 Vitoria Guimaraes 2–1 Nacional
03 May 25 Nacional 1–2 Vitoria Guimaraes
23 Dec 24 Vitoria Guimaraes 2–2 Nacional
5meetings
  • Nacional win · 1 (20%)
  • Draw · 1 (20%)
  • Vitoria Guimaraes win · 3 (60%)
Avg. total goals 2.60 League avg: 2.63
Over 2.5 goals 60% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 60% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 60% League avg: 41%
Avg. total corners 7.40 League avg: 9.24
Avg. total cards 4.20 League avg: 4.95
Nacional avg. goals 1.20 League avg: 1.32
Vitoria Guimaraes avg. goals 1.40 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Nacional 2–0 Vitoria Guimaraes (16 May 26).

Nacional vs Vitoria Guimaraes head to head: in the previous 5 meetings, Nacional have won once, Vitoria Guimaraes have won 3 times and 1 ended in a draw. Nacional scored 6 goals and Vitoria Guimaraes scored 7 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 23 Aug 2026, was won 1-0 by Vitoria Guimaraes, at home against Nacional. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 5 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. Nacional kept 1 clean sheet and Vitoria Guimaraes kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Nacional
  • Crosses and headers
  • Shoots on sight
Vitoria Guimaraes
  • Crosses and headers
  • Keeps the ball
  • Shoots on sight
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    48% 10th of 18 54% 5th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 16th of 18 0.09 xG a shot 13th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    29% of xG 7th of 18 23% of xG 13th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    23% of shots 2nd of 18 22% of shots 3rd of 18

Where they differ

  • Nacional get more of their chances from set pieces than Vitoria Guimaraes, 29% against 23%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Nacional Vitoria Guimaraes
10 (1.0 avg) Goals 10 (1.0 avg)
100 (10.0 avg) Total Shots 169 (16.9 avg)
30 (3.0 avg) Shots on Target 43 (4.3 avg)
23 (2.3 avg) Blocked Shots 42 (4.2 avg)
41 (4.1 avg) Corners 55 (5.5 avg)
682 (75.8 avg) Attacks N/A
314 (34.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks N/A
78 (7.8 avg) Key Passes 122 (12.2 avg)
3818 (381.8 avg) Passes 4484 (448.4 avg)
3080 (81%) Pass Accuracy 3690 (82%)
47% Ball Possession 54%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Nacional Vitoria Guimaraes
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
15 (1.5 avg) Yellow Cards 26 (2.6 avg)
170 (17.0 avg) Tackles 177 (17.7 avg)
117 (11.7 avg) Fouls 162 (16.2 avg)
12 (1.2 avg) Offsides 11 (1.1 avg)
491 (49.1 avg) Duels Won 499 (49.9 avg)
154 (15.4 avg) Aerial Duels Won 155 (15.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Nacional

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Vitoria Guimaraes

1.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)