Nott'm Forest vs Brighton

Sat 05 Dec, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 14 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Nott'm Forest win 29.0%
Draw 29.0%
Brighton win · Most likely 42.0%

Event markets

Both teams to score 54%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 74%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 48%Avg 56%
Nott'm Forest clean sheet 24%Avg 26%
Brighton clean sheet 31%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 67%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 54%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 73%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 53%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-19.8%
1-29.1%
0-27.4%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Nott'm Forest
  • Brighton

Did you know?

  • Nott'm Forest have underscored their xG by 0.79 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Nott'm Forest beat Brighton 7-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Brighton's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Nott'm Forest have won just 1 of their last 10 home matches.

H2H

All 8 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
01 Mar 26 Brighton 2–1 Nott'm Forest
30 Nov 25 Nott'm Forest 0–2 Brighton
01 Feb 25 Nott'm Forest 7–0 Brighton
22 Sep 24 Brighton 2–2 Nott'm Forest
10 Mar 24 Brighton 1–0 Nott'm Forest
25 Nov 23 Nott'm Forest 2–3 Brighton
26 Apr 23 Nott'm Forest 3–1 Brighton
18 Oct 22 Brighton 0–0 Nott'm Forest
8meetings
  • Nott'm Forest win · 2 (25%)
  • Draw · 2 (25%)
  • Brighton win · 4 (50%)
Avg. total goals 3.25 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 62% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 9.62 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 4.75 League avg: 3.91
Nott'm Forest avg. goals 1.88 League avg: 1.42
Brighton avg. goals 1.38 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Nott'm Forest 7–0 Brighton (01 Feb 25).

Nott'm Forest vs Brighton head to head: in the previous 8 meetings, Nott'm Forest have won 2 times, Brighton have won 4 times and 2 ended in a draw. Nott'm Forest scored 15 goals and Brighton scored 11 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 1 Mar 2026, was won 2-1 by Brighton, at home against Nott'm Forest. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 8 and 5 had over 2.5 goals. Nott'm Forest kept 2 clean sheets and Brighton kept 3.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Nott'm Forest Brighton
5 (0.8 avg) Goals 18 (3.0 avg)
106 (17.7 avg) Total Shots 108 (18.0 avg)
23 (3.8 avg) Shots on Target 33 (5.5 avg)
34 (5.7 avg) Blocked Shots 21 (3.5 avg)
25 (4.2 avg) Corners 32 (5.3 avg)
523 (87.2 avg) Attacks 642 (107.0 avg)
307 (51.2 avg) Dangerous Attacks 327 (54.5 avg)
78 (13.0 avg) Key Passes 70 (11.7 avg)
2366 (394.3 avg) Passes 3042 (507.0 avg)
1889 (80%) Pass Accuracy 2599 (85%)
49% Ball Possession 60%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Nott'm Forest Brighton
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.2 avg)
15 (2.5 avg) Yellow Cards 13 (2.2 avg)
103 (17.2 avg) Tackles 84 (14.0 avg)
85 (14.2 avg) Fouls 76 (12.7 avg)
12 (2.0 avg) Offsides 12 (2.4 avg)
328 (54.7 avg) Duels Won 282 (47.0 avg)
111 (18.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 111 (18.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Nott'm Forest

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Brighton

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)