Preston vs Burnley

Tue 16 Mar, 19:45 UTC · Matchweek 38 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Preston win 32.6%
Draw 26.2%
Burnley win · Most likely 41.2%

Limited history for Burnley. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 60%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 78%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 55%Avg 51%
Preston clean sheet 21%Avg 28%
Burnley clean sheet 25%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 69%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 56%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 74%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 53%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-28.9%
0-18.2%
0-26.3%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Preston
  • Burnley

Did you know?

  • Burnley have not lost to Preston in their last 4 meetings.
  • Preston have won just 1 of their last 10 matches.
  • Burnley's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of Burnley's last 10 matches.

H2H

All 4 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
15 Feb 25 Preston 0–0 Burnley
05 Oct 24 Burnley 0–0 Preston
11 Feb 23 Burnley 3–0 Preston
13 Sep 22 Preston 1–1 Burnley
4meetings
  • Preston win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 3 (75%)
  • Burnley win · 1 (25%)
Avg. total goals 1.25 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 25% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 25% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 25% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 7.50 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 4.50 League avg: 3.82
Preston avg. goals 0.25 League avg: 1.31
Burnley avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Burnley 3–0 Preston (11 Feb 23).

Preston vs Burnley head to head: in the previous 4 meetings, Preston have not won, Burnley have won once and 3 ended in a draw. Preston scored 1 goal and Burnley scored 4 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 15 Feb 2025, ended 0-0 at Preston. Burnley are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 1 of 4 and 1 had over 2.5 goals. Preston kept 2 clean sheets and Burnley kept 3.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Preston
  • Crosses and headers
  • Cedes possession
  • Set piece heavy
Burnley
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    40% 23rd of 24 48% 17th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 12th of 24 0.11 xG a shot 13th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    37% of xG 4th of 24 22% of xG 17th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    25% of shots 1st of 24 12% of shots 24th of 24

Where they differ

  • Preston go more through the air than Burnley, 25% of shots against 12%.
  • Preston get more of their chances from set pieces than Burnley, 37% against 22%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Preston Burnley
8 (0.8 avg) Goals 16 (1.6 avg)
115 (11.5 avg) Total Shots 138 (13.8 avg)
23 (2.3 avg) Shots on Target 45 (4.5 avg)
43 (4.3 avg) Blocked Shots 43 (4.3 avg)
51 (5.1 avg) Corners 43 (4.3 avg)
730 (81.1 avg) Attacks 697 (77.4 avg)
350 (38.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 351 (39.0 avg)
78 (7.8 avg) Key Passes 94 (9.4 avg)
2865 (286.5 avg) Passes 4093 (409.3 avg)
1973 (69%) Pass Accuracy 3218 (79%)
37% Ball Possession 46%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Preston Burnley
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
21 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 19 (1.9 avg)
155 (15.5 avg) Tackles 155 (15.5 avg)
121 (12.1 avg) Fouls 94 (9.4 avg)
14 (1.4 avg) Offsides 30 (3.3 avg)
474 (47.4 avg) Duels Won 403 (40.3 avg)
198 (19.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 105 (10.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Preston

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Burnley

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (78%)
  • Over · 2 (22%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)