Stoke vs Burnley

Sat 03 Apr, 14:00 UTC · Matchweek 40 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Stoke win 36.2%
Draw 26.9%
Burnley win · Most likely 36.9%

Limited history for Burnley. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 58%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 77%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 53%Avg 51%
Stoke clean sheet 24%Avg 28%
Burnley clean sheet 24%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 71%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 60%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 73%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 52%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-28.4%
0-18.2%
0-25.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Stoke
  • Burnley

Did you know?

  • Burnley have not lost to Stoke in their last 4 meetings.
  • Burnley have won just 1 of their last 10 matches.
  • Burnley's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Stoke have outscored their xG by 0.62 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.

H2H

All 4 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
01 Jan 25 Burnley 0–0 Stoke
30 Nov 24 Stoke 0–2 Burnley
30 Dec 22 Stoke 0–1 Burnley
05 Oct 22 Burnley 1–1 Stoke
4meetings
  • Stoke win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 2 (50%)
  • Burnley win · 2 (50%)
Avg. total goals 1.25 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 0% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 25% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 0% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.75 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 4.25 League avg: 3.82
Stoke avg. goals 0.25 League avg: 1.31
Burnley avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Stoke 0–2 Burnley (30 Nov 24).

Stoke vs Burnley head to head: in the previous 4 meetings, Stoke have not won, Burnley have won 2 times and 2 ended in a draw. Stoke scored 1 goal and Burnley scored 4 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 1 Jan 2025, ended 0-0 at Burnley. Burnley are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 1 of 4 and 0 had over 2.5 goals. Stoke kept 1 clean sheet and Burnley kept 3.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Stoke
  • Shoots on sight
  • Cedes possession
Burnley
  • Plays on the floor
  • Open play side
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    47% 18th of 24 48% 16th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 22nd of 24 0.11 xG a shot 13th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    32% of xG 10th of 24 22% of xG 18th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    19% of shots 11th of 24 12% of shots 24th of 24

Where they differ

  • Stoke go more through the air than Burnley, 19% of shots against 12%.
  • Burnley wait for better chances than Stoke, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Stoke get more of their chances from set pieces than Burnley, 32% against 22%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Stoke Burnley
16 (1.6 avg) Goals 16 (1.6 avg)
115 (11.5 avg) Total Shots 138 (13.8 avg)
37 (3.7 avg) Shots on Target 45 (4.5 avg)
25 (2.5 avg) Blocked Shots 43 (4.3 avg)
52 (5.2 avg) Corners 44 (4.4 avg)
783 (78.3 avg) Attacks 697 (77.4 avg)
358 (35.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks 351 (39.0 avg)
89 (8.9 avg) Key Passes 94 (9.4 avg)
3839 (383.9 avg) Passes 4096 (409.6 avg)
3015 (79%) Pass Accuracy 3225 (79%)
47% Ball Possession 46%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Stoke Burnley
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
20 (2.0 avg) Yellow Cards 19 (1.9 avg)
154 (15.4 avg) Tackles 153 (15.3 avg)
115 (11.5 avg) Fouls 94 (9.4 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Offsides 30 (3.3 avg)
499 (49.9 avg) Duels Won 403 (40.3 avg)
178 (17.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 105 (10.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Stoke

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Burnley

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (78%)
  • Over · 2 (22%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)