Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela Amadora

Sat 28 Nov, 20:30 UTC · Matchweek 12 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Vitoria Guimaraes win · Most likely 53.2%
Draw 22.8%
Estrela Amadora win 24.0%

Event markets

Both teams to score 53%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 74%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 51%Avg 52%
Vitoria Guimaraes clean sheet 34%Avg 31%
Estrela Amadora clean sheet 18%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 56%Avg 56%
Over 9.5 corners 43%Avg 44%
Over 2.5 cards 87%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 73%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-012.1%
2-19.8%
2-08.9%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Vitoria Guimaraes
  • Estrela Amadora

Did you know?

  • Estrela Amadora have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • Vitoria Guimaraes have not lost to Estrela Amadora in their last 6 meetings.
  • Estrela Amadora's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Estrela Amadora have won just 1 of their last 10 away matches.

H2H

All 6 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
14 Feb 26 Vitoria Guimaraes 2–1 Estrela Amadora
14 Sep 25 Estrela Amadora 0–2 Vitoria Guimaraes
16 Mar 25 Vitoria Guimaraes 2–0 Estrela Amadora
27 Oct 24 Estrela Amadora 2–2 Vitoria Guimaraes
21 Jan 24 Vitoria Guimaraes 3–0 Estrela Amadora
13 Aug 23 Estrela Amadora 0–1 Vitoria Guimaraes
6meetings
  • Vitoria Guimaraes win · 5 (83%)
  • Draw · 1 (17%)
  • Estrela Amadora win · 0 (0%)
Avg. total goals 2.50 League avg: 2.63
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 33% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 41%
Avg. total corners 9.83 League avg: 9.24
Avg. total cards 4.17 League avg: 4.95
Vitoria Guimaraes avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.32
Estrela Amadora avg. goals 0.50 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Vitoria Guimaraes 3–0 Estrela Amadora (21 Jan 24).

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela Amadora head to head: in the previous 6 meetings, Vitoria Guimaraes have won 5 times, Estrela Amadora have not won and 1 ended in a draw. Vitoria Guimaraes scored 12 goals and Estrela Amadora scored 3 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 14 Feb 2026, was won 2-1 by Vitoria Guimaraes, at home against Estrela Amadora. Vitoria Guimaraes are unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 6 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. Vitoria Guimaraes kept 4 clean sheets.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Vitoria Guimaraes
  • Crosses and headers
  • Keeps the ball
  • Shoots on sight
Estrela Amadora
  • Open play side
  • Selective shooters
  • Crosses and headers
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    54% 5th of 18 48% 10th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 13th of 18 0.11 xG a shot 6th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    23% of xG 13th of 18 22% of xG 15th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    22% of shots 2nd of 18 20% of shots 6th of 18

Where they differ

  • Estrela Amadora wait for better chances than Vitoria Guimaraes, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Vitoria Guimaraes Estrela Amadora
10 (1.0 avg) Goals 15 (1.5 avg)
169 (16.9 avg) Total Shots 131 (13.1 avg)
43 (4.3 avg) Shots on Target 40 (4.0 avg)
42 (4.2 avg) Blocked Shots 35 (3.5 avg)
55 (5.5 avg) Corners 44 (4.4 avg)
N/A Attacks 857 (85.7 avg)
N/A Dangerous Attacks 443 (44.3 avg)
122 (12.2 avg) Key Passes 98 (9.8 avg)
4484 (448.4 avg) Passes 4190 (419.0 avg)
3690 (82%) Pass Accuracy 3489 (83%)
54% Ball Possession 52%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Vitoria Guimaraes Estrela Amadora
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
26 (2.6 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)
177 (17.7 avg) Tackles 173 (17.3 avg)
162 (16.2 avg) Fouls 114 (11.4 avg)
11 (1.1 avg) Offsides 11 (1.6 avg)
499 (49.9 avg) Duels Won 480 (48.0 avg)
155 (15.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 125 (12.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Vitoria Guimaraes

1.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)

Estrela Amadora

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)