Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave

Sun 27 Dec, 11:00 UTC · Matchweek 16 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Vitoria Guimaraes win · Most likely 60.5%
Draw 21.1%
Rio Ave win 18.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 49%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 73%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 50%Avg 52%
Vitoria Guimaraes clean sheet 41%Avg 31%
Rio Ave clean sheet 16%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 56%Avg 56%
Over 9.5 corners 43%Avg 44%
Over 2.5 cards 87%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 72%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-013.7%
2-010.9%
2-110.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Vitoria Guimaraes
  • Rio Ave

Did you know?

  • Rio Ave have conceded in each of their last 8 matches.
  • Vitoria Guimaraes have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Rio Ave have picked up just 1.6 cards per game over their last 10, well below the league average of 2.5.
  • Vitoria Guimaraes beat Rio Ave 3-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.

H2H

8meetings
  • Vitoria Guimaraes win · 5 (62%)
  • Draw · 2 (25%)
  • Rio Ave win · 1 (12%)
Avg. total goals 1.88 League avg: 2.63
Over 2.5 goals 38% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 25% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 40%
Avg. total corners 10.00 League avg: 9.24
Avg. total cards 5.62 League avg: 4.95
Vitoria Guimaraes avg. goals 1.38 League avg: 1.32
Rio Ave avg. goals 0.50 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Vitoria Guimaraes 3–0 Rio Ave (27 Apr 25).

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave head to head: in the previous 8 meetings, Vitoria Guimaraes have won 5 times, Rio Ave have won once and 2 ended in a draw. Vitoria Guimaraes scored 11 goals and Rio Ave scored 4 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 25 Apr 2026, was won 2-0 by Vitoria Guimaraes, at home against Rio Ave. Vitoria Guimaraes are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 8 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. Vitoria Guimaraes kept 6 clean sheets and Rio Ave kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Vitoria Guimaraes
  • Crosses and headers
  • Keeps the ball
  • Shoots on sight
Rio Ave
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    55% 5th of 18 48% 10th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 13th of 18 0.10 xG a shot 11th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    23% of xG 12th of 18 25% of xG 10th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    22% of shots 2nd of 18 17% of shots 14th of 18

Where they differ

  • Vitoria Guimaraes go more through the air than Rio Ave, 22% of shots against 17%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Vitoria Guimaraes Rio Ave
11 (1.1 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
161 (16.1 avg) Total Shots 78 (7.8 avg)
46 (4.6 avg) Shots on Target 33 (3.3 avg)
37 (3.7 avg) Blocked Shots 17 (1.7 avg)
54 (5.4 avg) Corners 38 (3.8 avg)
N/A Attacks 722 (72.2 avg)
N/A Dangerous Attacks 303 (30.3 avg)
118 (11.8 avg) Key Passes 57 (5.7 avg)
4342 (434.2 avg) Passes 4151 (415.1 avg)
3515 (81%) Pass Accuracy 3458 (83%)
53% Ball Possession 49%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Vitoria Guimaraes Rio Ave
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
26 (2.6 avg) Yellow Cards 18 (1.8 avg)
174 (17.4 avg) Tackles 127 (12.7 avg)
166 (16.6 avg) Fouls 107 (10.7 avg)
13 (1.3 avg) Offsides 10 (1.2 avg)
507 (50.7 avg) Duels Won 417 (41.7 avg)
165 (16.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 99 (9.9 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Vitoria Guimaraes

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Rio Ave

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)