Match summary
Bologna won 1-0 at home to Atalanta, with a late winner. It was goalless at half-time.
Lewis Ferguson put Bologna ahead with a header in the 86th minute, set up by Riccardo Orsolini.
Atalanta can feel hard done by, creating 1.59 expected goals (xG) from 12 shots to Bologna's 0.99 from 9.
Before kick-off
Bologna win
34%
Avg odds 2.83
Draw
32%
Avg odds 3.02
Atalanta win
34%
Avg odds 2.78
Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.
Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.