Match summary
Augsburg beat Mainz 1-0 on the road. Augsburg led 1-0 at half-time.
Florian Niederlechner put Augsburg ahead in the first minute, set up by Carlos Gruezo.
Mainz can feel hard done by, creating 1.43 expected goals (xG) from 17 shots to Augsburg's 0.89 from 9.
Before kick-off
Mainz win
46%
Avg odds 2.06
Draw
28%
Avg odds 3.46
Augsburg win
26%
Avg odds 3.67
Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.
Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.