Match summary
Rayo Vallecano beat Real Madrid 1-0. Rayo Vallecano led 1-0 at half-time.
Adrián Embarba put Rayo Vallecano ahead from the penalty spot in the 23rd minute.
The chances backed that up: Rayo Vallecano created 1.55 expected goals (xG) from 11 shots to Real Madrid's 0.46 from 9.
Before kick-off
Rayo Vallecano win
12%
Bet365 odds 7.50
Draw
21%
Bet365 odds 4.50
Real Madrid win
67%
Bet365 odds 1.40
Chances implied by the Bet365 odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.
Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.