Arsenal vs Brighton

Sun 30 May, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 38 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Arsenal win · Most likely 55.1%
Draw 25.8%
Brighton win 19.1%

Event markets

Both teams to score 54%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 76%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 52%Avg 56%
Arsenal clean sheet 37%Avg 26%
Brighton clean sheet 17%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 72%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 60%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 69%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 48%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-010.6%
2-110.0%
2-09.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Arsenal
  • Brighton

Did you know?

  • Arsenal have won 9 of their last 10 matches (all competitions).
  • Brighton's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Arsenal have won 9 of their last 10 home matches.
  • Arsenal's matches have stayed under 9.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 (corner data on file).

H2H

All 17 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
19 Sep 26 Brighton 3–0 Arsenal
04 Mar 26 Brighton 0–1 Arsenal
27 Dec 25 Arsenal 2–1 Brighton
04 Jan 25 Brighton 1–1 Arsenal
31 Aug 24 Arsenal 1–1 Brighton
06 Apr 24 Brighton 0–3 Arsenal
17 Dec 23 Arsenal 2–0 Brighton
14 May 23 Arsenal 0–3 Brighton
31 Dec 22 Brighton 2–4 Arsenal
09 Apr 22 Arsenal 1–2 Brighton
02 Oct 21 Brighton 0–0 Arsenal
23 May 21 Arsenal 2–0 Brighton
29 Dec 20 Brighton 0–1 Arsenal
20 Jun 20 Brighton 2–1 Arsenal
05 Dec 19 Arsenal 1–2 Brighton
05 May 19 Arsenal 1–1 Brighton
26 Dec 18 Brighton 1–1 Arsenal
17meetings
  • Arsenal win · 7 (41%)
  • Draw · 5 (29%)
  • Brighton win · 5 (29%)
Avg. total goals 2.41 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 47% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 53% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 29% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 12.00 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 4.18 League avg: 3.91
Arsenal avg. goals 1.29 League avg: 1.42
Brighton avg. goals 1.12 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Brighton 3–0 Arsenal (19 Sep 26).

Arsenal vs Brighton head to head: in the previous 17 meetings, Arsenal have won 7 times, Brighton have won 5 times and 5 ended in a draw. Arsenal scored 22 goals and Brighton scored 19 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 19 Sep 2026, was won 3-0 by Brighton, at home against Arsenal. Across these matches, both teams scored in 9 of 17 and 8 had over 2.5 goals. Arsenal kept 6 clean sheets and Brighton kept 3.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Arsenal Brighton
10 (1.7 avg) Goals 18 (3.0 avg)
77 (12.8 avg) Total Shots 108 (18.0 avg)
30 (5.0 avg) Shots on Target 33 (5.5 avg)
25 (4.2 avg) Blocked Shots 21 (3.5 avg)
27 (4.5 avg) Corners 32 (5.3 avg)
583 (97.2 avg) Attacks 642 (107.0 avg)
317 (52.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks 327 (54.5 avg)
65 (10.8 avg) Key Passes 70 (11.7 avg)
3003 (500.5 avg) Passes 3042 (507.0 avg)
2599 (87%) Pass Accuracy 2599 (85%)
59% Ball Possession 60%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Arsenal Brighton
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.2 avg)
8 (1.3 avg) Yellow Cards 13 (2.2 avg)
71 (11.8 avg) Tackles 84 (14.0 avg)
62 (10.3 avg) Fouls 76 (12.7 avg)
26 (4.3 avg) Offsides 12 (2.4 avg)
286 (47.7 avg) Duels Won 282 (47.0 avg)
91 (15.2 avg) Aerial Duels Won 111 (18.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Arsenal

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 10 (100%)
  • Over · 0 (0%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
CS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)

Brighton

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)