Aston Villa vs Man United

Sat 16 Jan, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 21 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Aston Villa win · Most likely 37.9%
Draw 28.2%
Man United win 33.9%

Event markets

Both teams to score 58%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 77%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 52%Avg 56%
Aston Villa clean sheet 26%Avg 26%
Man United clean sheet 24%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 69%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 57%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 69%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 47%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.6%
1-08.1%
2-06.1%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Aston Villa
  • Man United

Did you know?

  • Man United have conceded in each of their last 6 matches.
  • These two have gone over 2.5 goals in 10 of their last 14 meetings.
  • Man United have won just 3 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Aston Villa beat Man United 0-3 in the biggest recent win between these two.

H2H

14meetings
  • Aston Villa win · 3 (21%)
  • Draw · 3 (21%)
  • Man United win · 8 (57%)
Avg. total goals 2.93 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 71% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 64% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 10.64 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 4.29 League avg: 3.91
Aston Villa avg. goals 1.14 League avg: 1.42
Man United avg. goals 1.79 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Aston Villa 0–3 Man United (09 Jul 20).

Aston Villa vs Man United head to head: in the previous 14 meetings, Aston Villa have won 3 times, Man United have won 8 times and 3 ended in a draw. Aston Villa scored 16 goals and Man United scored 25 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 15 Mar 2026, was won 3-1 by Man United, at home against Aston Villa. Across these matches, both teams scored in 9 of 14 and 10 had over 2.5 goals. Aston Villa kept 2 clean sheets and Man United kept 4.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Aston Villa Man United
7 (1.0 avg) Goals 9 (1.5 avg)
83 (11.9 avg) Total Shots 125 (20.8 avg)
22 (3.1 avg) Shots on Target 32 (5.3 avg)
26 (3.7 avg) Blocked Shots 46 (7.7 avg)
22 (3.1 avg) Corners 40 (6.7 avg)
616 (88.0 avg) Attacks 641 (106.8 avg)
264 (37.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 388 (64.7 avg)
64 (9.1 avg) Key Passes 92 (15.3 avg)
2858 (408.3 avg) Passes 3298 (549.7 avg)
2371 (83%) Pass Accuracy 2891 (88%)
47% Ball Possession 58%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Aston Villa Man United
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
14 (2.0 avg) Yellow Cards 10 (1.7 avg)
121 (17.3 avg) Tackles 94 (15.7 avg)
75 (10.7 avg) Fouls 62 (10.3 avg)
7 (1.0 avg) Offsides 12 (2.0 avg)
327 (46.7 avg) Duels Won 274 (45.7 avg)
70 (10.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 75 (12.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Aston Villa

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Man United

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)