Benfica vs Nacional

Sat 17 Apr, 11:00 UTC · Matchweek 30 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Benfica win · Most likely 80.3%
Draw 12.0%
Nacional win 7.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 51%Avg 50%
Over 1.5 goals 86%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 68%Avg 52%
Benfica clean sheet 45%Avg 31%
Nacional clean sheet 6%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 80%Avg 57%
Over 9.5 corners 70%Avg 45%
Over 2.5 cards 78%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 60%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-011.0%
3-09.8%
1-09.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Benfica
  • Nacional

Did you know?

  • Benfica have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Benfica have outscored their xG by 0.77 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Benfica have not lost to Nacional in their last 4 meetings.
  • Benfica have won 9 of their last 10 matches (all competitions).

H2H

All 4 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
12 Apr 26 Benfica 2–0 Nacional
29 Nov 25 Nacional 1–2 Benfica
08 Mar 25 Benfica 3–0 Nacional
19 Dec 24 Nacional 0–2 Benfica
4meetings
  • Benfica win · 4 (100%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Nacional win · 0 (0%)
Avg. total goals 2.50 League avg: 2.64
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 25% League avg: 50%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 41%
Avg. total corners 13.00 League avg: 9.28
Avg. total cards 5.25 League avg: 4.93
Benfica avg. goals 2.25 League avg: 1.32
Nacional avg. goals 0.25 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Benfica 3–0 Nacional (08 Mar 25).

Benfica vs Nacional head to head: in the previous 4 meetings, Benfica have won 4 times, Nacional have not won and none ended in a draw. Benfica scored 9 goals and Nacional scored 1 goal in these matches. The latest meeting, on 12 Apr 2026, was won 2-0 by Benfica, at home against Nacional. Benfica have won each of the last 4 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 1 of 4 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Benfica kept 3 clean sheets.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Benfica
  • Selective shooters
  • Keeps the ball
Nacional
  • Crosses and headers
  • Shoots on sight
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    59% 3rd of 18 48% 11th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.13 xG a shot 1st of 18 0.09 xG a shot 15th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    25% of xG 11th of 18 28% of xG 8th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    18% of shots 10th of 18 21% of shots 4th of 18

Where they differ

  • Benfica wait for better chances than Nacional, 0.13 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Benfica see much more of the ball than Nacional, 59% against 48%.
  • Nacional go more through the air than Benfica, 21% of shots against 18%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Benfica Nacional
28 (2.8 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
173 (17.3 avg) Total Shots 109 (10.9 avg)
56 (5.6 avg) Shots on Target 32 (3.2 avg)
47 (4.7 avg) Blocked Shots 29 (2.9 avg)
73 (7.3 avg) Corners 43 (4.3 avg)
557 (92.8 avg) Attacks 672 (74.7 avg)
360 (60.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 316 (35.1 avg)
127 (12.7 avg) Key Passes 83 (8.3 avg)
5616 (561.6 avg) Passes 3786 (378.6 avg)
4876 (87%) Pass Accuracy 3061 (81%)
63% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Benfica Nacional
2 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
20 (2.0 avg) Yellow Cards 16 (1.6 avg)
156 (15.6 avg) Tackles 175 (17.5 avg)
119 (11.9 avg) Fouls 111 (11.1 avg)
20 (2.2 avg) Offsides 12 (1.2 avg)
540 (54.0 avg) Duels Won 476 (47.6 avg)
137 (13.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 143 (14.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Benfica

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Nacional

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)