Bournemouth vs Newcastle

Sat 13 Mar, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 29 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Bournemouth win · Most likely 48.8%
Draw 26.6%
Newcastle win 24.6%

Event markets

Both teams to score 58%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 78%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 54%Avg 56%
Bournemouth clean sheet 31%Avg 26%
Newcastle clean sheet 18%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 75%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 64%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 77%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 58%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.7%
1-08.9%
2-08.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Bournemouth
  • Newcastle

Did you know?

  • Bournemouth have gone 8 matches without a win.
  • Bournemouth have conceded in each of their last 8 matches.
  • Newcastle's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Bournemouth have won just 1 of their last 10 home matches.

H2H

13meetings
  • Bournemouth win · 3 (23%)
  • Draw · 7 (54%)
  • Newcastle win · 3 (23%)
Avg. total goals 3.00 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 62% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 85% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 23% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 10.15 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 4.08 League avg: 3.91
Bournemouth avg. goals 1.54 League avg: 1.42
Newcastle avg. goals 1.46 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Newcastle 1–4 Bournemouth (18 Jan 25).

Bournemouth vs Newcastle head to head: in the previous 13 meetings, Bournemouth have won 3 times, Newcastle have won 3 times and 7 ended in a draw. Bournemouth scored 20 goals and Newcastle scored 19 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 5 Sep 2026, ended 2-2 at Newcastle. Bournemouth are unbeaten in the last 9 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 11 of 13 and 8 had over 2.5 goals. Bournemouth kept 2 clean sheets and Newcastle kept 1.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Bournemouth Newcastle
7 (1.2 avg) Goals 10 (1.4 avg)
77 (12.8 avg) Total Shots 85 (12.1 avg)
30 (5.0 avg) Shots on Target 25 (3.6 avg)
20 (3.3 avg) Blocked Shots 25 (3.6 avg)
28 (4.7 avg) Corners 32 (4.6 avg)
624 (104.0 avg) Attacks 596 (85.1 avg)
243 (40.5 avg) Dangerous Attacks 316 (45.1 avg)
56 (9.3 avg) Key Passes 67 (9.6 avg)
2452 (408.7 avg) Passes 2991 (427.3 avg)
1975 (81%) Pass Accuracy 2503 (84%)
48% Ball Possession 52%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Bournemouth Newcastle
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
18 (3.0 avg) Yellow Cards 19 (2.7 avg)
97 (16.2 avg) Tackles 96 (13.7 avg)
75 (12.5 avg) Fouls 85 (12.1 avg)
9 (1.5 avg) Offsides 19 (2.7 avg)
301 (50.2 avg) Duels Won 335 (47.9 avg)
105 (17.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 117 (16.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Bournemouth

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Newcastle

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)