Brighton vs Bournemouth

Tue 05 Jan, 19:30 UTC · Matchweek 20 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Brighton win · Most likely 43.1%
Draw 26.7%
Bournemouth win 30.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 62%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 80%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 57%Avg 56%
Brighton clean sheet 25%Avg 26%
Bournemouth clean sheet 19%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 64%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 51%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 82%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 65%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.2%
1-07.5%
2-06.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Brighton
  • Bournemouth

Did you know?

  • Bournemouth have gone 8 matches without a win.
  • Bournemouth have conceded in each of their last 8 matches.
  • Brighton beat Bournemouth 0-5 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Brighton's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.

H2H

All 12 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
19 Jan 26 Brighton 1–1 Bournemouth
13 Sep 25 Bournemouth 2–1 Brighton
25 Feb 25 Brighton 2–1 Bournemouth
23 Nov 24 Bournemouth 1–2 Brighton
28 Apr 24 Bournemouth 3–0 Brighton
24 Sep 23 Brighton 3–1 Bournemouth
04 Apr 23 Bournemouth 0–2 Brighton
04 Feb 23 Brighton 1–0 Bournemouth
21 Jan 20 Bournemouth 3–1 Brighton
28 Dec 19 Brighton 2–0 Bournemouth
13 Apr 19 Brighton 0–5 Bournemouth
22 Dec 18 Bournemouth 2–0 Brighton
12meetings
  • Brighton win · 6 (50%)
  • Draw · 1 (8%)
  • Bournemouth win · 5 (42%)
Avg. total goals 2.83 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 58% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 67% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 10.00 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 4.25 League avg: 3.91
Brighton avg. goals 1.25 League avg: 1.42
Bournemouth avg. goals 1.58 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Brighton 0–5 Bournemouth (13 Apr 19).

Brighton vs Bournemouth head to head: in the previous 12 meetings, Brighton have won 6 times, Bournemouth have won 5 times and 1 ended in a draw. Brighton scored 15 goals and Bournemouth scored 19 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 19 Jan 2026, ended 1-1 at Brighton. Across these matches, both teams scored in 6 of 12 and 7 had over 2.5 goals. Brighton kept 3 clean sheets and Bournemouth kept 3.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Brighton Bournemouth
18 (3.0 avg) Goals 7 (1.2 avg)
108 (18.0 avg) Total Shots 77 (12.8 avg)
33 (5.5 avg) Shots on Target 30 (5.0 avg)
21 (3.5 avg) Blocked Shots 20 (3.3 avg)
32 (5.3 avg) Corners 28 (4.7 avg)
642 (107.0 avg) Attacks 624 (104.0 avg)
327 (54.5 avg) Dangerous Attacks 243 (40.5 avg)
70 (11.7 avg) Key Passes 56 (9.3 avg)
3042 (507.0 avg) Passes 2452 (408.7 avg)
2599 (85%) Pass Accuracy 1975 (81%)
60% Ball Possession 48%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Brighton Bournemouth
1 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
13 (2.2 avg) Yellow Cards 18 (3.0 avg)
84 (14.0 avg) Tackles 97 (16.2 avg)
76 (12.7 avg) Fouls 75 (12.5 avg)
12 (2.4 avg) Offsides 9 (1.5 avg)
282 (47.0 avg) Duels Won 301 (50.2 avg)
111 (18.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 105 (17.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Brighton

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)

Bournemouth

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)