Carrarese vs Padova

Sat 16 Jan, 16:00 UTC · Matchweek 21 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Carrarese win · Most likely 44.1%
Draw 30.9%
Padova win 25.0%

Event markets

Both teams to score 49%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 69%Avg 76%
Over 2.5 goals 42%Avg 48%
Carrarese clean sheet 37%Avg 31%
Padova clean sheet 25%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 58%Avg 58%
Over 9.5 corners 45%Avg 46%
Over 2.5 cards 82%Avg 84%
Over 3.5 cards 65%Avg 69%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.6%
2-18.9%
2-08.6%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Carrarese
  • Padova

Did you know?

  • Carrarese have won just 3 of their last 10 matches.
  • Padova have won just 3 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Carrarese have underscored their xG by 0.48 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Carrarese have conceded in each of their last 5 matches.

H2H

All 3 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
11 Oct 26 Padova 0–2 Carrarese
10 Feb 26 Padova 1–0 Carrarese
31 Aug 25 Carrarese 0–0 Padova
3meetings
  • Carrarese win · 1 (33%)
  • Draw · 1 (33%)
  • Padova win · 1 (33%)
Avg. total goals 1.00 League avg: 2.56
Over 2.5 goals 0% League avg: 48%
Both teams to score 0% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 33% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 7.67 League avg: 9.50
Avg. total cards 5.67 League avg: 4.45
Carrarese avg. goals 0.67 League avg: 1.28
Padova avg. goals 0.33 League avg: 1.28

Biggest win: Padova 0–2 Carrarese (11 Oct 26).

Carrarese vs Padova head to head: in the previous 3 meetings, Carrarese have won once, Padova have won once and 1 ended in a draw. Carrarese scored 2 goals and Padova scored 1 goal in these matches. The latest meeting, on 11 Oct 2026, was won 2-0 by Carrarese, away at Padova. Across these matches, both teams scored in 0 of 3 and 0 had over 2.5 goals. Carrarese kept 2 clean sheets and Padova kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 20 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Carrarese
  • Open play side
Padova
  • Cedes possession
  • Shoots on sight
  • Open play side
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    50% 10th of 20 44% 19th of 20
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.10 xG a shot 11th of 20 0.09 xG a shot 16th of 20
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    20% of xG 17th of 20 21% of xG 16th of 20
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    19% of shots 8th of 20 19% of shots 7th of 20

Where they differ

  • Carrarese see much more of the ball than Padova, 50% against 44%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Carrarese Padova
8 (0.8 avg) Goals 11 (1.1 avg)
133 (13.3 avg) Total Shots 109 (10.9 avg)
35 (3.5 avg) Shots on Target 33 (3.3 avg)
31 (3.1 avg) Blocked Shots 28 (2.8 avg)
55 (5.5 avg) Corners 44 (4.4 avg)
472 (78.7 avg) Attacks 457 (76.2 avg)
241 (40.2 avg) Dangerous Attacks 203 (33.8 avg)
101 (10.1 avg) Key Passes 82 (8.2 avg)
4408 (440.8 avg) Passes 3891 (389.1 avg)
3678 (83%) Pass Accuracy 3153 (81%)
49% Ball Possession 44%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Carrarese Padova
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
21 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 22 (2.2 avg)
161 (16.1 avg) Tackles 181 (18.1 avg)
137 (13.7 avg) Fouls 119 (11.9 avg)
9 (1.3 avg) Offsides 28 (2.8 avg)
477 (47.7 avg) Duels Won 467 (46.7 avg)
137 (13.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 125 (12.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Carrarese

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 10 (100%)
  • Over · 0 (0%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Padova

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)