Estrela Amadora vs Arouca

Sun 07 Mar, 11:00 UTC · Matchweek 25 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Estrela Amadora win · Most likely 37.9%
Draw 24.7%
Arouca win 37.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 53%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 72%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 49%Avg 52%
Estrela Amadora clean sheet 27%Avg 31%
Arouca clean sheet 26%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 41%Avg 56%
Over 9.5 corners 29%Avg 44%
Over 2.5 cards 89%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 75%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-010.7%
2-18.3%
2-06.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Estrela Amadora
  • Arouca

Did you know?

  • Estrela Amadora have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • Estrela Amadora's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Estrela Amadora have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Estrela Amadora have won just 2 of their last 10 home matches.

H2H

All 7 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
11 Oct 26 Arouca 1–0 Estrela Amadora
19 Apr 26 Arouca 1–0 Estrela Amadora
07 Dec 25 Estrela Amadora 3–1 Arouca
19 Apr 25 Arouca 1–0 Estrela Amadora
09 Dec 24 Estrela Amadora 2–1 Arouca
05 May 24 Arouca 0–0 Estrela Amadora
28 Dec 23 Estrela Amadora 1–4 Arouca
7meetings
  • Estrela Amadora win · 2 (29%)
  • Draw · 1 (14%)
  • Arouca win · 4 (57%)
Avg. total goals 2.14 League avg: 2.64
Over 2.5 goals 43% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 43% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 71% League avg: 41%
Avg. total corners 8.57 League avg: 9.24
Avg. total cards 6.14 League avg: 4.95
Estrela Amadora avg. goals 0.86 League avg: 1.32
Arouca avg. goals 1.29 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Estrela Amadora 1–4 Arouca (28 Dec 23).

Estrela Amadora vs Arouca head to head: in the previous 7 meetings, Estrela Amadora have won 2 times, Arouca have won 4 times and 1 ended in a draw. Estrela Amadora scored 6 goals and Arouca scored 9 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 11 Oct 2026, was won 1-0 by Arouca, at home against Estrela Amadora. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 7 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. Estrela Amadora kept 1 clean sheet and Arouca kept 4.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Estrela Amadora
  • Open play side
  • Crosses and headers
Arouca
  • Open play side
  • Crosses and headers
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    48% 10th of 18 52% 7th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 7th of 18 0.11 xG a shot 6th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    22% of xG 14th of 18 21% of xG 16th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    20% of shots 6th of 18 20% of shots 5th of 18

Where they differ

These two are close to each other on every one of these measures.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Estrela Amadora Arouca
15 (1.5 avg) Goals 12 (1.2 avg)
131 (13.1 avg) Total Shots 115 (11.5 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Shots on Target 40 (4.0 avg)
35 (3.5 avg) Blocked Shots 20 (2.0 avg)
44 (4.4 avg) Corners 36 (3.6 avg)
857 (85.7 avg) Attacks 775 (86.1 avg)
443 (44.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks 395 (43.9 avg)
98 (9.8 avg) Key Passes 87 (8.7 avg)
4190 (419.0 avg) Passes 4891 (489.1 avg)
3489 (83%) Pass Accuracy 4235 (87%)
52% Ball Possession 53%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Estrela Amadora Arouca
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
21 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 26 (2.6 avg)
173 (17.3 avg) Tackles 144 (14.4 avg)
114 (11.4 avg) Fouls 111 (11.1 avg)
11 (1.6 avg) Offsides 9 (1.0 avg)
480 (48.0 avg) Duels Won 394 (39.4 avg)
125 (12.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 103 (10.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Estrela Amadora

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Arouca

1.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)