Famalicao vs Nacional

Sun 28 Feb, 11:00 UTC · Matchweek 24 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Famalicao win · Most likely 49.2%
Draw 25.1%
Nacional win 25.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 45%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 66%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 41%Avg 52%
Famalicao clean sheet 39%Avg 31%
Nacional clean sheet 24%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 62%Avg 56%
Over 9.5 corners 49%Avg 44%
Over 2.5 cards 85%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 70%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-015.0%
2-09.3%
2-19.1%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Famalicao
  • Nacional

Did you know?

  • Nacional have won just 1 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Nacional have picked up just 1.2 cards per game over their last 10, well below the league average of 2.5.
  • Famalicao have outscored their xG by 0.56 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Nacional beat Famalicao 0-4 in the biggest recent win between these two.

H2H

All 5 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
19 Sep 26 Nacional 0–4 Famalicao
21 Mar 26 Famalicao 1–0 Nacional
01 Nov 25 Nacional 0–1 Famalicao
01 Mar 25 Nacional 2–1 Famalicao
29 Sep 24 Famalicao 0–0 Nacional
5meetings
  • Famalicao win · 3 (60%)
  • Draw · 1 (20%)
  • Nacional win · 1 (20%)
Avg. total goals 1.80 League avg: 2.63
Over 2.5 goals 40% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 20% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 40% League avg: 40%
Avg. total corners 11.00 League avg: 9.24
Avg. total cards 6.80 League avg: 4.95
Famalicao avg. goals 1.40 League avg: 1.32
Nacional avg. goals 0.40 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Nacional 0–4 Famalicao (19 Sep 26).

Famalicao vs Nacional head to head: in the previous 5 meetings, Famalicao have won 3 times, Nacional have won once and 1 ended in a draw. Famalicao scored 7 goals and Nacional scored 2 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 19 Sep 2026, was won 4-0 by Famalicao, away at Nacional. Famalicao have won each of the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 1 of 5 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Famalicao kept 4 clean sheets and Nacional kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Famalicao
  • Set piece heavy
  • Keeps the ball
Nacional
  • Crosses and headers
  • Shoots on sight
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    52% 6th of 18 48% 11th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.10 xG a shot 8th of 18 0.09 xG a shot 15th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    39% of xG 1st of 18 28% of xG 8th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    19% of shots 8th of 18 21% of shots 4th of 18

Where they differ

  • Famalicao get more of their chances from set pieces than Nacional, 39% against 28%.
  • Famalicao wait for better chances than Nacional, 0.10 xG a shot against 0.09.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Famalicao Nacional
14 (1.4 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
104 (10.4 avg) Total Shots 109 (10.9 avg)
34 (3.4 avg) Shots on Target 32 (3.2 avg)
30 (3.0 avg) Blocked Shots 29 (2.9 avg)
52 (5.2 avg) Corners 43 (4.3 avg)
609 (76.1 avg) Attacks 672 (74.7 avg)
280 (35.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 316 (35.1 avg)
71 (7.1 avg) Key Passes 83 (8.3 avg)
4662 (466.2 avg) Passes 3786 (378.6 avg)
3991 (86%) Pass Accuracy 3061 (81%)
53% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Famalicao Nacional
2 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
23 (2.3 avg) Yellow Cards 16 (1.6 avg)
175 (17.5 avg) Tackles 175 (17.5 avg)
113 (11.3 avg) Fouls 111 (11.1 avg)
10 (1.2 avg) Offsides 12 (1.2 avg)
522 (52.2 avg) Duels Won 476 (47.6 avg)
94 (9.4 avg) Aerial Duels Won 143 (14.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Famalicao

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Nacional

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)