Hamburg vs Freiburg

Sat 15 May, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 33 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Hamburg win 32.5%
Draw 27.8%
Freiburg win · Most likely 39.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 55%Avg 59%
Over 1.5 goals 74%Avg 82%
Over 2.5 goals 49%Avg 62%
Hamburg clean sheet 24%Avg 26%
Freiburg clean sheet 28%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 50%Avg 62%
Over 9.5 corners 37%Avg 52%
Over 2.5 cards 72%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 51%Avg 54%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-19.5%
1-28.8%
0-26.7%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Hamburg
  • Freiburg

Did you know?

  • Freiburg have scored in 8 consecutive matches.
  • Hamburg's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Freiburg's matches have stayed under 9.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 (corner data on file).
  • Freiburg have outscored their xG by 0.60 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.

H2H

All 2 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
10 May 26 Hamburg 3–2 Freiburg
10 Jan 26 Freiburg 2–1 Hamburg
2meetings
  • Hamburg win · 1 (50%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Freiburg win · 1 (50%)
Avg. total goals 4.00 League avg: 3.20
Over 2.5 goals 100% League avg: 62%
Both teams to score 100% League avg: 59%
Whoever hosts wins 100% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 4.50 League avg: 9.96
Avg. total cards 6.50 League avg: 3.82
Hamburg avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.60
Freiburg avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.60

Biggest win: Hamburg 3–2 Freiburg (10 May 26).

Hamburg vs Freiburg head to head: in the previous 2 meetings, Hamburg have won once, Freiburg have won once and none ended in a draw. Hamburg scored 4 goals and Freiburg scored 4 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 10 May 2026, was won 3-2 by Hamburg, at home against Freiburg. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 2 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Neither side has kept a clean sheet against the other.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Hamburg Freiburg
6 (1.0 avg) Goals 14 (2.8 avg)
67 (11.2 avg) Total Shots 86 (17.2 avg)
22 (3.7 avg) Shots on Target 30 (6.0 avg)
14 (2.3 avg) Blocked Shots 26 (5.2 avg)
23 (3.8 avg) Corners 28 (5.6 avg)
458 (76.3 avg) Attacks 444 (88.8 avg)
198 (33.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 192 (38.4 avg)
47 (7.8 avg) Key Passes 62 (12.4 avg)
2077 (346.2 avg) Passes 2279 (455.8 avg)
1624 (78%) Pass Accuracy 1908 (84%)
40% Ball Possession 53%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Hamburg Freiburg
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.2 avg)
8 (1.3 avg) Yellow Cards 10 (2.0 avg)
93 (15.5 avg) Tackles 58 (11.6 avg)
84 (14.0 avg) Fouls 50 (10.0 avg)
10 (2.0 avg) Offsides 4 (0.8 avg)
276 (46.0 avg) Duels Won 269 (53.8 avg)
80 (13.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 94 (18.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Hamburg

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Freiburg

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)