Mantova vs Carrarese

Sat 09 Jan, 14:00 UTC · Matchweek 20 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Mantova win · Most likely 43.7%
Draw 29.5%
Carrarese win 26.8%

Event markets

Both teams to score 54%Avg 55%
Over 1.5 goals 74%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 48%Avg 48%
Mantova clean sheet 32%Avg 31%
Carrarese clean sheet 23%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 71%Avg 57%
Over 9.5 corners 59%Avg 46%
Over 2.5 cards 85%Avg 84%
Over 3.5 cards 69%Avg 70%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-09.8%
2-19.2%
2-07.9%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Mantova
  • Carrarese

Did you know?

  • Mantova have not lost to Carrarese in their last 5 meetings.
  • Carrarese have won just 2 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
  • Mantova's matches have stayed under 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.

H2H

All 5 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
22 Aug 26 Carrarese 1–2 Mantova
01 Mar 26 Mantova 1–1 Carrarese
27 Dec 25 Carrarese 0–0 Mantova
09 May 25 Mantova 2–1 Carrarese
20 Oct 24 Carrarese 1–1 Mantova
5meetings
  • Mantova win · 2 (40%)
  • Draw · 3 (60%)
  • Carrarese win · 0 (0%)
Avg. total goals 2.00 League avg: 2.56
Over 2.5 goals 40% League avg: 48%
Both teams to score 80% League avg: 55%
Whoever hosts wins 20% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 9.20 League avg: 9.50
Avg. total cards 4.80 League avg: 4.45
Mantova avg. goals 1.20 League avg: 1.28
Carrarese avg. goals 0.80 League avg: 1.28

Biggest win: Carrarese 1–2 Mantova (22 Aug 26).

Mantova vs Carrarese head to head: in the previous 5 meetings, Mantova have won 2 times, Carrarese have not won and 3 ended in a draw. Mantova scored 6 goals and Carrarese scored 4 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 22 Aug 2026, was won 2-1 by Mantova, away at Carrarese. Mantova are unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 5 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Mantova kept 1 clean sheet and Carrarese kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 20 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Mantova
  • Plays on the floor
  • Keeps the ball
  • Open play side
Carrarese
  • Open play side
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    53% 4th of 20 50% 10th of 20
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.10 xG a shot 8th of 20 0.10 xG a shot 11th of 20
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    22% of xG 15th of 20 20% of xG 17th of 20
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    11% of shots 20th of 20 19% of shots 8th of 20

Where they differ

  • Carrarese go more through the air than Mantova, 19% of shots against 11%.
  • Mantova see much more of the ball than Carrarese, 53% against 50%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Mantova Carrarese
13 (1.3 avg) Goals 8 (0.8 avg)
134 (13.4 avg) Total Shots 133 (13.3 avg)
49 (4.9 avg) Shots on Target 35 (3.5 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Blocked Shots 31 (3.1 avg)
42 (4.2 avg) Corners 55 (5.5 avg)
506 (84.3 avg) Attacks 472 (78.7 avg)
230 (38.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks 241 (40.2 avg)
106 (10.6 avg) Key Passes 101 (10.1 avg)
4607 (460.7 avg) Passes 4408 (440.8 avg)
3740 (81%) Pass Accuracy 3678 (83%)
52% Ball Possession 49%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Mantova Carrarese
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
21 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)
149 (14.9 avg) Tackles 161 (16.1 avg)
143 (14.3 avg) Fouls 137 (13.7 avg)
13 (1.3 avg) Offsides 9 (1.3 avg)
461 (46.1 avg) Duels Won 477 (47.7 avg)
147 (14.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 137 (13.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Mantova

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Carrarese

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 10 (100%)
  • Over · 0 (0%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)