Mantova vs Padova

Sun 27 Dec, 14:00 UTC · Matchweek 19 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Mantova win · Most likely 47.6%
Draw 29.0%
Padova win 23.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 53%Avg 55%
Over 1.5 goals 74%Avg 76%
Over 2.5 goals 48%Avg 48%
Mantova clean sheet 35%Avg 31%
Padova clean sheet 21%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 57%Avg 57%
Over 9.5 corners 44%Avg 46%
Over 2.5 cards 84%Avg 84%
Over 3.5 cards 68%Avg 70%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-010.2%
2-19.5%
2-08.7%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Mantova
  • Padova

Did you know?

  • Mantova's matches have stayed under 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
  • Padova have won just 3 of their last 10 matches.
  • Padova have won just 3 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Padova have scored in 5 consecutive matches.

H2H

All 2 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
17 Jan 26 Padova 1–2 Mantova
08 Nov 25 Mantova 1–0 Padova
2meetings
  • Mantova win · 2 (100%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Padova win · 0 (0%)
Avg. total goals 2.00 League avg: 2.55
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 48%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 55%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 8.00 League avg: 9.49
Avg. total cards 5.50 League avg: 4.50
Mantova avg. goals 1.50 League avg: 1.28
Padova avg. goals 0.50 League avg: 1.28

Biggest win: Padova 1–2 Mantova (17 Jan 26).

Mantova vs Padova head to head: in the previous 2 meetings, Mantova have won 2 times, Padova have not won and none ended in a draw. Mantova scored 3 goals and Padova scored 1 goal in these matches. The latest meeting, on 17 Jan 2026, was won 2-1 by Mantova, away at Padova. Across these matches, both teams scored in 1 of 2 and 1 had over 2.5 goals. Mantova kept 1 clean sheet.

How they play

Each line runs across the 20 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Mantova
  • Plays on the floor
  • Keeps the ball
  • Open play side
Padova
  • Cedes possession
  • Open play side
  • Shoots on sight
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    53% 4th of 20 44% 19th of 20
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.10 xG a shot 9th of 20 0.09 xG a shot 15th of 20
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    22% of xG 15th of 20 21% of xG 17th of 20
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    11% of shots 20th of 20 19% of shots 7th of 20

Where they differ

  • Mantova see much more of the ball than Padova, 53% against 44%.
  • Padova go more through the air than Mantova, 19% of shots against 11%.
  • Mantova wait for better chances than Padova, 0.10 xG a shot against 0.09.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Mantova Padova
13 (1.3 avg) Goals 11 (1.1 avg)
134 (13.4 avg) Total Shots 109 (10.9 avg)
49 (4.9 avg) Shots on Target 33 (3.3 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Blocked Shots 28 (2.8 avg)
42 (4.2 avg) Corners 44 (4.4 avg)
506 (84.3 avg) Attacks 457 (76.2 avg)
230 (38.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks 203 (33.8 avg)
106 (10.6 avg) Key Passes 82 (8.2 avg)
4607 (460.7 avg) Passes 3891 (389.1 avg)
3740 (81%) Pass Accuracy 3153 (81%)
52% Ball Possession 44%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Mantova Padova
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
21 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 22 (2.2 avg)
149 (14.9 avg) Tackles 181 (18.1 avg)
143 (14.3 avg) Fouls 119 (11.9 avg)
13 (1.3 avg) Offsides 28 (2.8 avg)
461 (46.1 avg) Duels Won 467 (46.7 avg)
147 (14.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 125 (12.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Mantova

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Padova

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)