Nacional vs Arouca

Sun 21 Mar, 11:00 UTC · Matchweek 27 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Nacional win 36.5%
Draw 24.8%
Arouca win · Most likely 38.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 54%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 72%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 49%Avg 52%
Nacional clean sheet 26%Avg 31%
Arouca clean sheet 27%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 46%Avg 56%
Over 9.5 corners 33%Avg 44%
Over 2.5 cards 89%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 77%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-110.8%
1-28.4%
0-26.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Nacional
  • Arouca

Did you know?

  • Arouca have not lost to Nacional in their last 5 meetings.
  • Nacional have picked up just 1.2 cards per game over their last 10, well below the league average of 2.6.
  • Nacional have won just 3 of their last 10 matches.
  • Nacional's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 6 of their last 9 (corner data on file).

H2H

All 5 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
01 Nov 26 Arouca 1–0 Nacional
21 Feb 26 Arouca 3–0 Nacional
20 Sep 25 Nacional 1–2 Arouca
01 Feb 25 Nacional 1–2 Arouca
25 Aug 24 Arouca 1–0 Nacional
5meetings
  • Nacional win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Arouca win · 5 (100%)
Avg. total goals 2.20 League avg: 2.63
Over 2.5 goals 60% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 40% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 60% League avg: 41%
Avg. total corners 8.00 League avg: 9.24
Avg. total cards 7.00 League avg: 4.95
Nacional avg. goals 0.40 League avg: 1.32
Arouca avg. goals 1.80 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Arouca 3–0 Nacional (21 Feb 26).

Nacional vs Arouca head to head: in the previous 5 meetings, Nacional have not won, Arouca have won 5 times and none ended in a draw. Nacional scored 2 goals and Arouca scored 9 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 1 Nov 2026, was won 1-0 by Arouca, at home against Nacional. Arouca have won each of the last 5 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 5 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. Arouca kept 3.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Nacional
  • Crosses and headers
  • Shoots on sight
Arouca
  • Crosses and headers
  • Selective shooters
  • Open play side
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    48% 12th of 18 52% 7th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 15th of 18 0.11 xG a shot 5th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    28% of xG 8th of 18 22% of xG 14th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    21% of shots 3rd of 18 21% of shots 4th of 18

Where they differ

  • Arouca wait for better chances than Nacional, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Nacional get more of their chances from set pieces than Arouca, 28% against 22%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Nacional Arouca
9 (0.9 avg) Goals 12 (1.2 avg)
109 (10.9 avg) Total Shots 115 (11.5 avg)
32 (3.2 avg) Shots on Target 40 (4.0 avg)
30 (3.0 avg) Blocked Shots 20 (2.0 avg)
43 (4.3 avg) Corners 36 (3.6 avg)
672 (74.7 avg) Attacks 775 (86.1 avg)
316 (35.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 395 (43.9 avg)
70 (7.8 avg) Key Passes 87 (8.7 avg)
3787 (378.7 avg) Passes 4894 (489.4 avg)
3062 (81%) Pass Accuracy 4237 (87%)
47% Ball Possession 53%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Nacional Arouca
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
16 (1.6 avg) Yellow Cards 26 (2.6 avg)
175 (17.5 avg) Tackles 143 (14.3 avg)
111 (11.1 avg) Fouls 111 (11.1 avg)
12 (1.2 avg) Offsides 9 (1.0 avg)
433 (48.1 avg) Duels Won 394 (39.4 avg)
132 (14.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 103 (10.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Nacional

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)

Arouca

1.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)