Nacional vs Benfica

Sat 05 Dec, 15:30 UTC · Matchweek 13 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Nacional win 14.3%
Draw 17.5%
Benfica win · Most likely 68.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 54%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 81%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 61%Avg 52%
Nacional clean sheet 11%Avg 31%
Benfica clean sheet 39%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 70%Avg 56%
Over 9.5 corners 58%Avg 44%
Over 2.5 cards 89%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 76%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-110.6%
0-210.5%
1-29.9%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Nacional
  • Benfica

Did you know?

  • Benfica have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Benfica have not lost to Nacional in their last 4 meetings.
  • Benfica's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Nacional have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.

H2H

All 4 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
12 Apr 26 Benfica 2–0 Nacional
29 Nov 25 Nacional 1–2 Benfica
08 Mar 25 Benfica 3–0 Nacional
19 Dec 24 Nacional 0–2 Benfica
4meetings
  • Nacional win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Benfica win · 4 (100%)
Avg. total goals 2.50 League avg: 2.64
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 25% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 41%
Avg. total corners 13.00 League avg: 9.24
Avg. total cards 5.25 League avg: 4.95
Nacional avg. goals 0.25 League avg: 1.32
Benfica avg. goals 2.25 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Benfica 3–0 Nacional (08 Mar 25).

Nacional vs Benfica head to head: in the previous 4 meetings, Nacional have not won, Benfica have won 4 times and none ended in a draw. Nacional scored 1 goal and Benfica scored 9 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 12 Apr 2026, was won 2-0 by Benfica, at home against Nacional. Benfica have won each of the last 4 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 1 of 4 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Benfica kept 3.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Nacional
  • Crosses and headers
  • Shoots on sight
Benfica
  • Selective shooters
  • Keeps the ball
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    48% 10th of 18 59% 3rd of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 16th of 18 0.13 xG a shot 1st of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    29% of xG 7th of 18 25% of xG 9th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    23% of shots 2nd of 18 19% of shots 8th of 18

Where they differ

  • Benfica wait for better chances than Nacional, 0.13 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Benfica see much more of the ball than Nacional, 59% against 48%.
  • Nacional go more through the air than Benfica, 23% of shots against 19%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Nacional Benfica
10 (1.0 avg) Goals 27 (2.7 avg)
100 (10.0 avg) Total Shots 186 (18.6 avg)
30 (3.0 avg) Shots on Target 62 (6.2 avg)
23 (2.3 avg) Blocked Shots 51 (5.1 avg)
41 (4.1 avg) Corners 73 (7.3 avg)
682 (75.8 avg) Attacks 559 (93.2 avg)
314 (34.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 356 (59.3 avg)
78 (7.8 avg) Key Passes 133 (13.3 avg)
3818 (381.8 avg) Passes 5570 (557.0 avg)
3080 (81%) Pass Accuracy 4839 (87%)
47% Ball Possession 63%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Nacional Benfica
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
15 (1.5 avg) Yellow Cards 22 (2.2 avg)
170 (17.0 avg) Tackles 154 (15.4 avg)
117 (11.7 avg) Fouls 121 (12.1 avg)
12 (1.2 avg) Offsides 19 (2.1 avg)
491 (49.1 avg) Duels Won 540 (54.0 avg)
154 (15.4 avg) Aerial Duels Won 143 (14.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Nacional

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Benfica

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)