Nacional vs Gil Vicente

Sun 10 Jan, 11:00 UTC · Matchweek 17 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Nacional win 30.3%
Draw 25.5%
Gil Vicente win · Most likely 44.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 49%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 69%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 44%Avg 52%
Nacional clean sheet 25%Avg 31%
Gil Vicente clean sheet 33%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 55%Avg 56%
Over 9.5 corners 42%Avg 44%
Over 2.5 cards 90%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 77%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-112.9%
1-28.9%
0-27.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Nacional
  • Gil Vicente

Did you know?

  • Gil Vicente have not lost to Nacional in their last 4 meetings.
  • Nacional have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Gil Vicente's matches have stayed under 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Gil Vicente's matches have stayed under 9.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 (corner data on file).

H2H

All 4 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
17 Jan 26 Gil Vicente 2–1 Nacional
09 Aug 25 Nacional 0–2 Gil Vicente
19 Apr 25 Nacional 0–3 Gil Vicente
07 Dec 24 Gil Vicente 2–1 Nacional
4meetings
  • Nacional win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Gil Vicente win · 4 (100%)
Avg. total goals 2.75 League avg: 2.63
Over 2.5 goals 75% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 41%
Avg. total corners 13.50 League avg: 9.24
Avg. total cards 5.75 League avg: 4.95
Nacional avg. goals 0.50 League avg: 1.32
Gil Vicente avg. goals 2.25 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Nacional 0–3 Gil Vicente (19 Apr 25).

Nacional vs Gil Vicente head to head: in the previous 4 meetings, Nacional have not won, Gil Vicente have won 4 times and none ended in a draw. Nacional scored 2 goals and Gil Vicente scored 9 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 17 Jan 2026, was won 2-1 by Gil Vicente, at home against Nacional. Gil Vicente have won each of the last 4 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 4 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. Gil Vicente kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Nacional
  • Crosses and headers
  • Shoots on sight
Gil Vicente
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    48% 10th of 18 51% 8th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 16th of 18 0.09 xG a shot 12th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    29% of xG 7th of 18 25% of xG 10th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    23% of shots 2nd of 18 18% of shots 10th of 18

Where they differ

  • Nacional go more through the air than Gil Vicente, 23% of shots against 18%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Nacional Gil Vicente
10 (1.0 avg) Goals 8 (0.8 avg)
100 (10.0 avg) Total Shots 127 (12.7 avg)
30 (3.0 avg) Shots on Target 33 (3.3 avg)
23 (2.3 avg) Blocked Shots 38 (3.8 avg)
41 (4.1 avg) Corners 31 (3.1 avg)
682 (75.8 avg) Attacks N/A
314 (34.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks N/A
78 (7.8 avg) Key Passes 95 (9.5 avg)
3818 (381.8 avg) Passes 4549 (454.9 avg)
3080 (81%) Pass Accuracy 3901 (86%)
47% Ball Possession 51%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Nacional Gil Vicente
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
15 (1.5 avg) Yellow Cards 20 (2.0 avg)
170 (17.0 avg) Tackles 138 (13.8 avg)
117 (11.7 avg) Fouls 139 (13.9 avg)
12 (1.2 avg) Offsides 16 (1.8 avg)
491 (49.1 avg) Duels Won 402 (40.2 avg)
154 (15.4 avg) Aerial Duels Won 88 (8.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Nacional

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Gil Vicente

1.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)