Nacional vs Rio Ave

Sun 07 Mar, 11:00 UTC · Matchweek 25 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Nacional win · Most likely 49.3%
Draw 23.5%
Rio Ave win 27.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 52%Avg 50%
Over 1.5 goals 72%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 49%Avg 52%
Nacional clean sheet 33%Avg 31%
Rio Ave clean sheet 21%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 49%Avg 57%
Over 9.5 corners 36%Avg 45%
Over 2.5 cards 89%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 76%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-012.6%
2-19.5%
2-08.4%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Nacional
  • Rio Ave

Did you know?

  • Rio Ave have conceded in each of their last 8 matches.
  • Rio Ave have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
  • These two have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 meetings.

H2H

All 5 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
11 Oct 26 Rio Ave 3–2 Nacional
25 Jan 26 Nacional 4–0 Rio Ave
17 Aug 25 Rio Ave 1–1 Nacional
10 May 25 Nacional 3–3 Rio Ave
29 Dec 24 Rio Ave 2–1 Nacional
5meetings
  • Nacional win · 1 (20%)
  • Draw · 2 (40%)
  • Rio Ave win · 2 (40%)
Avg. total goals 4.00 League avg: 2.64
Over 2.5 goals 80% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 80% League avg: 50%
Whoever hosts wins 60% League avg: 41%
Avg. total corners 12.80 League avg: 9.28
Avg. total cards 3.80 League avg: 4.93
Nacional avg. goals 2.20 League avg: 1.32
Rio Ave avg. goals 1.80 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Nacional 4–0 Rio Ave (25 Jan 26).

Nacional vs Rio Ave head to head: in the previous 5 meetings, Nacional have won once, Rio Ave have won 2 times and 2 ended in a draw. Nacional scored 11 goals and Rio Ave scored 9 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 11 Oct 2026, was won 3-2 by Rio Ave, at home against Nacional. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 5 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Nacional kept 1 clean sheet.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Nacional
  • Crosses and headers
  • Shoots on sight
Rio Ave
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    48% 11th of 18 48% 10th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 15th of 18 0.10 xG a shot 11th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    28% of xG 8th of 18 25% of xG 10th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    21% of shots 4th of 18 17% of shots 14th of 18

Where they differ

  • Nacional go more through the air than Rio Ave, 21% of shots against 17%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Nacional Rio Ave
9 (0.9 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
109 (10.9 avg) Total Shots 78 (7.8 avg)
32 (3.2 avg) Shots on Target 33 (3.3 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Blocked Shots 17 (1.7 avg)
43 (4.3 avg) Corners 38 (3.8 avg)
672 (74.7 avg) Attacks 722 (72.2 avg)
316 (35.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 303 (30.3 avg)
83 (8.3 avg) Key Passes 57 (5.7 avg)
3786 (378.6 avg) Passes 4151 (415.1 avg)
3061 (81%) Pass Accuracy 3458 (83%)
47% Ball Possession 49%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Nacional Rio Ave
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
16 (1.6 avg) Yellow Cards 18 (1.8 avg)
175 (17.5 avg) Tackles 127 (12.7 avg)
111 (11.1 avg) Fouls 107 (10.7 avg)
12 (1.2 avg) Offsides 10 (1.2 avg)
476 (47.6 avg) Duels Won 417 (41.7 avg)
143 (14.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 99 (9.9 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Nacional

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)

Rio Ave

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)