Nacional vs Sporting CP

Sun 14 Feb, 11:00 UTC · Matchweek 22 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Nacional win 15.8%
Draw 18.3%
Sporting CP win · Most likely 65.9%

Event markets

Both teams to score 53%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 79%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 58%Avg 52%
Nacional clean sheet 12%Avg 31%
Sporting CP clean sheet 39%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 66%Avg 56%
Over 9.5 corners 53%Avg 44%
Over 2.5 cards 89%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 76%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-111.5%
0-210.5%
1-210.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Nacional
  • Sporting CP

Did you know?

  • Sporting CP have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Sporting CP have not lost to Nacional in their last 5 meetings.
  • Nacional beat Sporting CP 1-6 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Sporting CP's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.

H2H

All 5 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
05 Sep 26 Sporting CP 2–0 Nacional
01 Feb 26 Sporting CP 2–1 Nacional
23 Aug 25 Nacional 1–4 Sporting CP
25 Jan 25 Sporting CP 2–0 Nacional
17 Aug 24 Nacional 1–6 Sporting CP
5meetings
  • Nacional win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Sporting CP win · 5 (100%)
Avg. total goals 3.80 League avg: 2.63
Over 2.5 goals 60% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 60% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 60% League avg: 40%
Avg. total corners 10.80 League avg: 9.24
Avg. total cards 3.20 League avg: 4.95
Nacional avg. goals 0.60 League avg: 1.32
Sporting CP avg. goals 3.20 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Nacional 1–6 Sporting CP (17 Aug 24).

Nacional vs Sporting CP head to head: in the previous 5 meetings, Nacional have not won, Sporting CP have won 5 times and none ended in a draw. Nacional scored 3 goals and Sporting CP scored 16 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 5 Sep 2026, was won 2-0 by Sporting CP, at home against Nacional. Sporting CP have won each of the last 5 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 5 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. Sporting CP kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Nacional
  • Crosses and headers
  • Shoots on sight
Sporting CP
  • Keeps the ball
  • Open play side
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    48% 11th of 18 62% 1st of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 15th of 18 0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    28% of xG 8th of 18 14% of xG 18th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    21% of shots 4th of 18 12% of shots 17th of 18

Where they differ

  • Nacional go more through the air than Sporting CP, 21% of shots against 12%.
  • Sporting CP wait for better chances than Nacional, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Sporting CP see much more of the ball than Nacional, 62% against 48%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Nacional Sporting CP
9 (0.9 avg) Goals 22 (2.2 avg)
109 (10.9 avg) Total Shots 158 (15.8 avg)
32 (3.2 avg) Shots on Target 56 (5.6 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Blocked Shots 39 (3.9 avg)
43 (4.3 avg) Corners 55 (5.5 avg)
672 (74.7 avg) Attacks 830 (92.2 avg)
316 (35.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 450 (50.0 avg)
83 (8.3 avg) Key Passes 120 (12.0 avg)
3786 (378.6 avg) Passes 5699 (569.9 avg)
3061 (81%) Pass Accuracy 5073 (89%)
47% Ball Possession 61%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Nacional Sporting CP
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
16 (1.6 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)
175 (17.5 avg) Tackles 162 (16.2 avg)
111 (11.1 avg) Fouls 118 (11.8 avg)
12 (1.2 avg) Offsides 16 (1.6 avg)
476 (47.6 avg) Duels Won 481 (48.1 avg)
143 (14.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 103 (10.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Nacional

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)

Sporting CP

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (78%)
  • Over · 2 (22%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (78%)
  • Over · 2 (22%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)