St Pauli vs Hannover

Sat 06 Mar, 10:00 UTC · Matchweek 25 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

St Pauli win 33.6%
Draw 26.8%
Hannover win · Most likely 39.6%

Limited history for St Pauli. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 59%Avg 59%
Over 1.5 goals 78%Avg 79%
Over 2.5 goals 54%Avg 58%
St Pauli clean sheet 22%Avg 28%
Hannover clean sheet 25%Avg 19%
Over 8.5 corners 74%Avg 67%
Over 9.5 corners 63%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 81%Avg 83%
Over 3.5 cards 63%Avg 70%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-28.7%
0-18.3%
0-26.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • St Pauli
  • Hannover

Did you know?

  • Hannover have conceded in each of their last 8 matches.
  • St Pauli have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • St Pauli have won just 2 of their last 10 home matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 7 of St Pauli's last 10 matches.

H2H

All 7 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
17 Oct 26 Hannover 1–1 St Pauli
21 Apr 24 Hannover 1–2 St Pauli
10 Nov 23 St Pauli 0–0 Hannover
05 Feb 23 St Pauli 2–0 Hannover
23 Jul 22 Hannover 2–2 St Pauli
20 Feb 22 St Pauli 0–3 Hannover
11 Sep 21 Hannover 1–0 St Pauli
7meetings
  • St Pauli win · 2 (29%)
  • Draw · 3 (43%)
  • Hannover win · 2 (29%)
Avg. total goals 2.14 League avg: 2.94
Over 2.5 goals 43% League avg: 58%
Both teams to score 43% League avg: 59%
Whoever hosts wins 29% League avg: 45%
Avg. total corners 10.71 League avg: 10.37
Avg. total cards 4.29 League avg: 4.51
St Pauli avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.47
Hannover avg. goals 1.14 League avg: 1.47

Biggest win: St Pauli 0–3 Hannover (20 Feb 22).

St Pauli vs Hannover head to head: in the previous 7 meetings, St Pauli have won 2 times, Hannover have won 2 times and 3 ended in a draw. St Pauli scored 7 goals and Hannover scored 8 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 17 Oct 2026, ended 1-1 at Hannover. St Pauli are unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 7 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. St Pauli kept 2 clean sheets and Hannover kept 3.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

St Pauli
Hannover
  • Set piece heavy
  • Keeps the ball
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    49% 10th of 18 53% 5th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.10 xG a shot 10th of 18 0.11 xG a shot 5th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    25% of xG 11th of 18 38% of xG 3rd of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    17% of shots 8th of 18 17% of shots 11th of 18

Where they differ

  • Hannover get more of their chances from set pieces than St Pauli, 38% against 25%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

St Pauli Hannover
12 (1.2 avg) Goals 11 (1.1 avg)
148 (14.8 avg) Total Shots 150 (15.0 avg)
48 (4.8 avg) Shots on Target 50 (5.0 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Blocked Shots 36 (3.6 avg)
53 (5.3 avg) Corners 53 (5.3 avg)
542 (77.4 avg) Attacks 554 (92.3 avg)
294 (42.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 239 (39.8 avg)
106 (10.6 avg) Key Passes 101 (10.1 avg)
4492 (449.2 avg) Passes 4681 (468.1 avg)
3650 (81%) Pass Accuracy 3777 (81%)
49% Ball Possession 52%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

St Pauli Hannover
2 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
27 (2.7 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)
176 (17.6 avg) Tackles 170 (17.0 avg)
130 (13.0 avg) Fouls 121 (12.1 avg)
30 (3.0 avg) Offsides 27 (3.0 avg)
485 (48.5 avg) Duels Won 482 (48.2 avg)
123 (12.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 147 (14.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

St Pauli

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Hannover

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)