Match summary
Borussia Dortmund beat Mainz 1-0 on the road, with a late winner. It was goalless at half-time.
Axel Witsel put Borussia Dortmund ahead in the 87th minute, set up by Giovanni Reyna.
The chances backed that up: Borussia Dortmund created 1.39 expected goals (xG) from 11 shots to Mainz's 0.78 from 11.
Before kick-off
Mainz win
32%
Avg odds 3.01
Draw
27%
Avg odds 3.54
Borussia Dortmund win
41%
Avg odds 2.33
Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.
Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.