Mainz vs Borussia Dortmund

Sat 08 May, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 32 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Mainz win 33.8%
Draw 26.1%
Borussia Dortmund win · Most likely 40.1%

Event markets

Both teams to score 61%Avg 59%
Over 1.5 goals 80%Avg 82%
Over 2.5 goals 57%Avg 62%
Mainz clean sheet 21%Avg 26%
Borussia Dortmund clean sheet 24%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 64%Avg 62%
Over 9.5 corners 52%Avg 52%
Over 2.5 cards 76%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 56%Avg 54%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-28.8%
0-17.6%
0-26.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Mainz
  • Borussia Dortmund

Did you know?

  • Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in their last 8 matches.
  • Mainz have won just 2 of their last 10 home matches.
  • Borussia Dortmund beat Mainz 4-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Mainz's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
13 Feb 26 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 Mainz
27 Sep 25 Mainz 0–2 Borussia Dortmund
30 Mar 25 Borussia Dortmund 3–1 Mainz
09 Nov 24 Mainz 3–1 Borussia Dortmund
11 May 24 Mainz 3–0 Borussia Dortmund
19 Dec 23 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 Mainz
27 May 23 Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Mainz
25 Jan 23 Mainz 1–2 Borussia Dortmund
16 Mar 22 Mainz 0–1 Borussia Dortmund
16 Oct 21 Borussia Dortmund 3–1 Mainz
16 May 21 Mainz 1–3 Borussia Dortmund
16 Jan 21 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 Mainz
17 Jun 20 Borussia Dortmund 0–2 Mainz
14 Dec 19 Mainz 0–4 Borussia Dortmund
13 Apr 19 Borussia Dortmund 2–1 Mainz
24 Nov 18 Mainz 1–2 Borussia Dortmund
16meetings
  • Mainz win · 3 (19%)
  • Draw · 3 (19%)
  • Borussia Dortmund win · 10 (62%)
Avg. total goals 3.06 League avg: 3.20
Over 2.5 goals 69% League avg: 62%
Both teams to score 62% League avg: 59%
Whoever hosts wins 38% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 8.00 League avg: 9.96
Avg. total cards 3.62 League avg: 3.82
Mainz avg. goals 1.12 League avg: 1.60
Borussia Dortmund avg. goals 1.94 League avg: 1.60

Biggest win: Borussia Dortmund 4–0 Mainz (13 Feb 26).

Mainz vs Borussia Dortmund head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Mainz have won 3 times, Borussia Dortmund have won 10 times and 3 ended in a draw. Mainz scored 18 goals and Borussia Dortmund scored 31 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 13 Feb 2026, was won 4-0 by Borussia Dortmund, at home against Mainz. Borussia Dortmund have won each of the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 10 of 16 and 11 had over 2.5 goals. Mainz kept 2 clean sheets and Borussia Dortmund kept 4.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Mainz Borussia Dortmund
14 (2.3 avg) Goals 11 (1.8 avg)
106 (17.7 avg) Total Shots 91 (15.2 avg)
36 (6.0 avg) Shots on Target 32 (5.3 avg)
26 (4.3 avg) Blocked Shots 22 (3.7 avg)
29 (4.8 avg) Corners 29 (4.8 avg)
628 (104.7 avg) Attacks 706 (117.7 avg)
318 (53.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 329 (54.8 avg)
81 (13.5 avg) Key Passes 72 (12.0 avg)
2676 (446.0 avg) Passes 3178 (529.7 avg)
2139 (80%) Pass Accuracy 2702 (85%)
51% Ball Possession 55%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Mainz Borussia Dortmund
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.2 avg)
14 (2.3 avg) Yellow Cards 15 (2.5 avg)
102 (17.0 avg) Tackles 99 (16.5 avg)
83 (13.8 avg) Fouls 67 (11.2 avg)
12 (2.0 avg) Offsides 9 (1.5 avg)
315 (52.5 avg) Duels Won 300 (50.0 avg)
124 (20.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 88 (14.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Mainz

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Borussia Dortmund

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)