Match summary
Freiburg took a 1-0 win at Mainz. It was goalless at half-time.
Michael Gregoritsch put Freiburg ahead in the 69th minute, set up by Merlin Röhl.
Mainz can feel hard done by, creating 2.87 expected goals (xG) from 20 shots to Freiburg's 1.35 from 13.
Before kick-off
Mainz win
42%
Avg odds 2.26
Draw
28%
Avg odds 3.47
Freiburg win
30%
Avg odds 3.20
Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.
Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.