Mainz vs Freiburg

Sat 12 Dec, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 13 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Mainz win · Most likely 46.0%
Draw 25.8%
Freiburg win 28.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 60%Avg 59%
Over 1.5 goals 79%Avg 82%
Over 2.5 goals 56%Avg 62%
Mainz clean sheet 28%Avg 26%
Freiburg clean sheet 19%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 66%Avg 62%
Over 9.5 corners 54%Avg 52%
Over 2.5 cards 70%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 49%Avg 54%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.4%
1-08.5%
2-07.1%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Mainz
  • Freiburg

Did you know?

  • Freiburg have scored in 8 consecutive matches.
  • Mainz beat Freiburg 5-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Freiburg's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Freiburg's matches have stayed under 9.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 (corner data on file).

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
12 Apr 26 Mainz 0–1 Freiburg
30 Nov 25 Freiburg 4–0 Mainz
15 Mar 25 Mainz 2–2 Freiburg
03 Nov 24 Freiburg 0–0 Mainz
21 Apr 24 Freiburg 1–1 Mainz
03 Dec 23 Mainz 0–1 Freiburg
19 Mar 23 Mainz 1–1 Freiburg
01 Oct 22 Freiburg 2–1 Mainz
12 Feb 22 Freiburg 1–1 Mainz
18 Sep 21 Mainz 0–0 Freiburg
13 Mar 21 Mainz 1–0 Freiburg
22 Nov 20 Freiburg 1–3 Mainz
18 Jan 20 Mainz 1–2 Freiburg
17 Aug 19 Freiburg 3–0 Mainz
05 Apr 19 Mainz 5–0 Freiburg
10 Nov 18 Freiburg 1–3 Mainz
16meetings
  • Mainz win · 4 (25%)
  • Draw · 6 (38%)
  • Freiburg win · 6 (38%)
Avg. total goals 2.44 League avg: 3.20
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 62%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 59%
Whoever hosts wins 31% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 9.31 League avg: 9.96
Avg. total cards 3.81 League avg: 3.82
Mainz avg. goals 1.19 League avg: 1.60
Freiburg avg. goals 1.25 League avg: 1.60

Biggest win: Mainz 5–0 Freiburg (05 Apr 19).

Mainz vs Freiburg head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Mainz have won 4 times, Freiburg have won 6 times and 6 ended in a draw. Mainz scored 19 goals and Freiburg scored 20 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 12 Apr 2026, was won 1-0 by Freiburg, away at Mainz. Freiburg are unbeaten in the last 10 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 8 of 16 and 8 had over 2.5 goals. Mainz kept 4 clean sheets and Freiburg kept 6.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Mainz Freiburg
14 (2.3 avg) Goals 14 (2.8 avg)
106 (17.7 avg) Total Shots 86 (17.2 avg)
36 (6.0 avg) Shots on Target 30 (6.0 avg)
26 (4.3 avg) Blocked Shots 26 (5.2 avg)
29 (4.8 avg) Corners 28 (5.6 avg)
628 (104.7 avg) Attacks 444 (88.8 avg)
318 (53.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 192 (38.4 avg)
81 (13.5 avg) Key Passes 62 (12.4 avg)
2676 (446.0 avg) Passes 2279 (455.8 avg)
2139 (80%) Pass Accuracy 1908 (84%)
51% Ball Possession 53%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Mainz Freiburg
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.2 avg)
14 (2.3 avg) Yellow Cards 10 (2.0 avg)
102 (17.0 avg) Tackles 58 (11.6 avg)
83 (13.8 avg) Fouls 50 (10.0 avg)
12 (2.0 avg) Offsides 4 (0.8 avg)
315 (52.5 avg) Duels Won 269 (53.8 avg)
124 (20.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 94 (18.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Mainz

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Freiburg

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)