Match summary
Mainz won 1-0 at home to RB Leipzig. Mainz led 1-0 at half-time.
Moussa Niakhate put Mainz ahead from a corner in the 13th minute.
The chances backed that up: Mainz created 1.29 expected goals (xG) from 8 shots to RB Leipzig's 0.84 from 13.
Before kick-off
Mainz win
13%
Avg odds 7.41
Draw
20%
Avg odds 4.86
RB Leipzig win
67%
Avg odds 1.42
Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.
Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.