Mainz vs RB Leipzig

Sat 10 Apr, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 29 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Mainz win · Most likely 45.2%
Draw 24.1%
RB Leipzig win 30.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 67%Avg 59%
Over 1.5 goals 85%Avg 82%
Over 2.5 goals 65%Avg 62%
Mainz clean sheet 22%Avg 26%
RB Leipzig clean sheet 16%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 72%Avg 62%
Over 9.5 corners 60%Avg 52%
Over 2.5 cards 72%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 51%Avg 54%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.0%
1-06.2%
2-05.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Mainz
  • RB Leipzig

Did you know?

  • RB Leipzig's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • RB Leipzig beat Mainz 8-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • RB Leipzig's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Mainz have won just 2 of their last 10 home matches.

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
31 Jan 26 RB Leipzig 1–2 Mainz
13 Sep 25 Mainz 0–1 RB Leipzig
01 Mar 25 RB Leipzig 1–2 Mainz
19 Oct 24 Mainz 0–2 RB Leipzig
30 Mar 24 RB Leipzig 0–0 Mainz
04 Nov 23 Mainz 2–0 RB Leipzig
01 Apr 23 RB Leipzig 0–3 Mainz
08 Oct 22 Mainz 1–1 RB Leipzig
08 Jan 22 RB Leipzig 4–1 Mainz
15 Aug 21 Mainz 1–0 RB Leipzig
23 Jan 21 Mainz 3–2 RB Leipzig
20 Sep 20 RB Leipzig 3–1 Mainz
24 May 20 Mainz 0–5 RB Leipzig
02 Nov 19 RB Leipzig 8–0 Mainz
03 May 19 Mainz 3–3 RB Leipzig
16 Dec 18 RB Leipzig 4–1 Mainz
16meetings
  • Mainz win · 6 (38%)
  • Draw · 3 (19%)
  • RB Leipzig win · 7 (44%)
Avg. total goals 3.44 League avg: 3.20
Over 2.5 goals 62% League avg: 62%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 59%
Whoever hosts wins 44% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 9.38 League avg: 9.96
Avg. total cards 3.75 League avg: 3.82
Mainz avg. goals 1.25 League avg: 1.60
RB Leipzig avg. goals 2.19 League avg: 1.60

Biggest win: RB Leipzig 8–0 Mainz (02 Nov 19).

Mainz vs RB Leipzig head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Mainz have won 6 times, RB Leipzig have won 7 times and 3 ended in a draw. Mainz scored 20 goals and RB Leipzig scored 35 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 31 Jan 2026, was won 2-1 by Mainz, away at RB Leipzig. Across these matches, both teams scored in 8 of 16 and 10 had over 2.5 goals. Mainz kept 4 clean sheets and RB Leipzig kept 5.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Mainz RB Leipzig
14 (2.3 avg) Goals 16 (2.7 avg)
106 (17.7 avg) Total Shots 107 (17.8 avg)
36 (6.0 avg) Shots on Target 39 (6.5 avg)
26 (4.3 avg) Blocked Shots 28 (4.7 avg)
29 (4.8 avg) Corners 33 (5.5 avg)
628 (104.7 avg) Attacks 640 (106.7 avg)
318 (53.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 274 (45.7 avg)
81 (13.5 avg) Key Passes 80 (13.3 avg)
2676 (446.0 avg) Passes 3055 (509.2 avg)
2139 (80%) Pass Accuracy 2651 (87%)
51% Ball Possession 53%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Mainz RB Leipzig
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
14 (2.3 avg) Yellow Cards 6 (1.0 avg)
102 (17.0 avg) Tackles 89 (14.8 avg)
83 (13.8 avg) Fouls 59 (9.8 avg)
12 (2.0 avg) Offsides 5 (0.8 avg)
315 (52.5 avg) Duels Won 285 (47.5 avg)
124 (20.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 54 (9.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Mainz

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

RB Leipzig

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)