AC Milan vs Cagliari

Sun 07 Mar, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 27 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

AC Milan win · Most likely 56.8%
Draw 24.2%
Cagliari win 19.0%

Event markets

Both teams to score 50%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 74%Avg 72%
Over 2.5 goals 49%Avg 47%
AC Milan clean sheet 40%Avg 30%
Cagliari clean sheet 18%Avg 29%
Over 8.5 corners 42%Avg 54%
Over 9.5 corners 29%Avg 43%
Over 2.5 cards 73%Avg 74%
Over 3.5 cards 52%Avg 55%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-012.5%
2-010.4%
2-19.9%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • AC Milan
  • Cagliari

Did you know?

  • AC Milan's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • AC Milan have scored in 9 consecutive matches.
  • AC Milan have lost to Cagliari just once in their last 14 meetings.
  • AC Milan's matches have stayed under 9.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 (corner data on file).

H2H

All 14 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
24 May 26 AC Milan 1–2 Cagliari
02 Jan 26 Cagliari 0–1 AC Milan
11 Jan 25 AC Milan 1–1 Cagliari
09 Nov 24 Cagliari 3–3 AC Milan
11 May 24 AC Milan 5–1 Cagliari
27 Sep 23 Cagliari 1–3 AC Milan
19 Mar 22 Cagliari 0–1 AC Milan
29 Aug 21 AC Milan 4–1 Cagliari
16 May 21 AC Milan 0–0 Cagliari
18 Jan 21 Cagliari 0–2 AC Milan
01 Aug 20 AC Milan 3–0 Cagliari
11 Jan 20 Cagliari 0–2 AC Milan
10 Feb 19 AC Milan 3–0 Cagliari
16 Sep 18 Cagliari 1–1 AC Milan
14meetings
  • AC Milan win · 9 (64%)
  • Draw · 4 (29%)
  • Cagliari win · 1 (7%)
Avg. total goals 2.86 League avg: 2.50
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 47%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 29% League avg: 40%
Avg. total corners 10.57 League avg: 9.03
Avg. total cards 3.36 League avg: 3.77
AC Milan avg. goals 2.14 League avg: 1.25
Cagliari avg. goals 0.71 League avg: 1.25

Biggest win: AC Milan 5–1 Cagliari (11 May 24).

AC Milan vs Cagliari head to head: in the previous 14 meetings, AC Milan have won 9 times, Cagliari have won once and 4 ended in a draw. AC Milan scored 30 goals and Cagliari scored 10 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 24 May 2026, was won 2-1 by Cagliari, away at AC Milan. Across these matches, both teams scored in 7 of 14 and 7 had over 2.5 goals. AC Milan kept 7 clean sheets and Cagliari kept 1.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

AC Milan Cagliari
11 (1.8 avg) Goals 6 (1.0 avg)
75 (12.5 avg) Total Shots 58 (9.7 avg)
27 (4.5 avg) Shots on Target 23 (3.8 avg)
20 (3.3 avg) Blocked Shots 11 (1.8 avg)
19 (3.2 avg) Corners 21 (3.5 avg)
570 (95.0 avg) Attacks 411 (68.5 avg)
268 (44.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 143 (23.8 avg)
65 (10.8 avg) Key Passes 43 (7.2 avg)
3486 (581.0 avg) Passes 2357 (392.8 avg)
3105 (89%) Pass Accuracy 1993 (85%)
60% Ball Possession 39%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

AC Milan Cagliari
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
12 (2.0 avg) Yellow Cards 7 (1.2 avg)
91 (15.2 avg) Tackles 98 (16.3 avg)
62 (10.3 avg) Fouls 59 (9.8 avg)
7 (1.2 avg) Offsides 17 (2.8 avg)
273 (45.5 avg) Duels Won 230 (38.3 avg)
72 (12.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 55 (9.2 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

AC Milan

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Cagliari

1.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 10 (100%)
  • Over · 0 (0%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)