Alverca vs Nacional

Sun 21 Feb, 11:00 UTC · Matchweek 23 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Alverca win · Most likely 49.2%
Draw 24.1%
Nacional win 26.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 51%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 72%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 48%Avg 52%
Alverca clean sheet 34%Avg 31%
Nacional clean sheet 21%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 54%Avg 56%
Over 9.5 corners 41%Avg 44%
Over 2.5 cards 81%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 64%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-012.5%
2-19.5%
2-08.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Alverca
  • Nacional

Did you know?

  • Nacional have won just 1 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Nacional have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Nacional have picked up just 1.4 cards per game over their last 10, well below the league average of 2.6.
  • Both teams have scored in 7 of Alverca's last 10 matches.

H2H

All 3 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
12 Sep 26 Nacional 1–3 Alverca
18 Apr 26 Nacional 1–0 Alverca
07 Dec 25 Alverca 1–0 Nacional
3meetings
  • Alverca win · 2 (67%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Nacional win · 1 (33%)
Avg. total goals 2.00 League avg: 2.63
Over 2.5 goals 33% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 33% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 67% League avg: 41%
Avg. total corners 6.00 League avg: 9.24
Avg. total cards 2.67 League avg: 4.95
Alverca avg. goals 1.33 League avg: 1.32
Nacional avg. goals 0.67 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Nacional 1–3 Alverca (12 Sep 26).

Alverca vs Nacional head to head: in the previous 3 meetings, Alverca have won 2 times, Nacional have won once and none ended in a draw. Alverca scored 4 goals and Nacional scored 2 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 12 Sep 2026, was won 3-1 by Alverca, away at Nacional. Across these matches, both teams scored in 1 of 3 and 1 had over 2.5 goals. Alverca kept 1 clean sheet and Nacional kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Alverca
  • Cedes possession
  • Crosses and headers
Nacional
  • Crosses and headers
  • Shoots on sight
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    43% 16th of 18 48% 10th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 7th of 18 0.09 xG a shot 16th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    29% of xG 8th of 18 29% of xG 7th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    20% of shots 5th of 18 23% of shots 2nd of 18

Where they differ

  • Alverca wait for better chances than Nacional, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Nacional see much more of the ball than Alverca, 48% against 43%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Alverca Nacional
14 (1.4 avg) Goals 10 (1.0 avg)
115 (11.5 avg) Total Shots 100 (10.0 avg)
38 (3.8 avg) Shots on Target 30 (3.0 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Blocked Shots 23 (2.3 avg)
46 (4.6 avg) Corners 41 (4.1 avg)
739 (73.9 avg) Attacks 682 (75.8 avg)
362 (36.2 avg) Dangerous Attacks 314 (34.9 avg)
92 (9.2 avg) Key Passes 78 (7.8 avg)
3422 (342.2 avg) Passes 3818 (381.8 avg)
2696 (79%) Pass Accuracy 3080 (81%)
41% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Alverca Nacional
3 (0.3 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
21 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 15 (1.5 avg)
184 (18.4 avg) Tackles 170 (17.0 avg)
147 (14.7 avg) Fouls 117 (11.7 avg)
14 (1.4 avg) Offsides 12 (1.2 avg)
446 (44.6 avg) Duels Won 491 (49.1 avg)
92 (9.2 avg) Aerial Duels Won 154 (15.4 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Alverca

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Nacional

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)