Alverca vs Nacional

Sun 21 Feb, 11:00 UTC · Matchweek 23 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Alverca win · Most likely 49.2%
Draw 23.7%
Nacional win 27.1%

Event markets

Both teams to score 51%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 71%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 48%Avg 52%
Alverca clean sheet 34%Avg 31%
Nacional clean sheet 22%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 58%Avg 57%
Over 9.5 corners 44%Avg 45%
Over 2.5 cards 80%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 62%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-012.9%
2-19.5%
2-08.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Alverca
  • Nacional

Did you know?

  • Nacional have won just 1 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Nacional have picked up just 1.5 cards per game over their last 10, well below the league average of 2.6.
  • Alverca have won just 3 of their last 10 matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 7 of Alverca's last 10 matches.

H2H

All 3 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
12 Sep 26 Nacional 1–3 Alverca
18 Apr 26 Nacional 1–0 Alverca
07 Dec 25 Alverca 1–0 Nacional
3meetings
  • Alverca win · 2 (67%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Nacional win · 1 (33%)
Avg. total goals 2.00 League avg: 2.63
Over 2.5 goals 33% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 33% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 67% League avg: 40%
Avg. total corners 6.00 League avg: 9.28
Avg. total cards 2.67 League avg: 4.93
Alverca avg. goals 1.33 League avg: 1.32
Nacional avg. goals 0.67 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Nacional 1–3 Alverca (12 Sep 26).

Alverca vs Nacional head to head: in the previous 3 meetings, Alverca have won 2 times, Nacional have won once and none ended in a draw. Alverca scored 4 goals and Nacional scored 2 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 12 Sep 2026, was won 3-1 by Alverca, away at Nacional. Across these matches, both teams scored in 1 of 3 and 1 had over 2.5 goals. Alverca kept 1 clean sheet and Nacional kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Alverca
  • Cedes possession
Nacional
  • Crosses and headers
  • Shoots on sight
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    43% 16th of 18 48% 11th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 7th of 18 0.09 xG a shot 15th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    29% of xG 7th of 18 28% of xG 8th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    20% of shots 7th of 18 21% of shots 4th of 18

Where they differ

  • Alverca wait for better chances than Nacional, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Alverca Nacional
14 (1.4 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
115 (11.5 avg) Total Shots 109 (10.9 avg)
38 (3.8 avg) Shots on Target 32 (3.2 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Blocked Shots 29 (2.9 avg)
46 (4.6 avg) Corners 43 (4.3 avg)
739 (73.9 avg) Attacks 672 (74.7 avg)
362 (36.2 avg) Dangerous Attacks 316 (35.1 avg)
92 (9.2 avg) Key Passes 83 (8.3 avg)
3422 (342.2 avg) Passes 3786 (378.6 avg)
2696 (79%) Pass Accuracy 3061 (81%)
41% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Alverca Nacional
3 (0.3 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
21 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 16 (1.6 avg)
184 (18.4 avg) Tackles 175 (17.5 avg)
147 (14.7 avg) Fouls 111 (11.1 avg)
14 (1.4 avg) Offsides 12 (1.2 avg)
446 (44.6 avg) Duels Won 476 (47.6 avg)
92 (9.2 avg) Aerial Duels Won 143 (14.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Alverca

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Nacional

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)