Ascoli vs Padova

Sat 30 Jan, 16:00 UTC · Matchweek 23 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Ascoli win · Most likely 42.8%
Draw 31.4%
Padova win 25.8%

Limited history for Ascoli. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 49%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 69%Avg 76%
Over 2.5 goals 41%Avg 48%
Ascoli clean sheet 36%Avg 31%
Padova clean sheet 26%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 64%Avg 57%
Over 9.5 corners 51%Avg 46%
Over 2.5 cards 83%Avg 84%
Over 3.5 cards 66%Avg 70%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.4%
2-18.8%
2-08.4%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Ascoli
  • Padova

Did you know?

  • Ascoli are unbeaten in their last 7 matches.
  • Ascoli's matches have stayed under 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Ascoli's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 9 (corner data on file).
  • Padova have won just 3 of their last 10 matches.

H2H

All 1 meeting on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
12 Sep 26 Padova 1–0 Ascoli
1meetings
  • Ascoli win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Padova win · 1 (100%)
Avg. total goals 1.00 League avg: 2.56
Over 2.5 goals 0% League avg: 48%
Both teams to score 0% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 100% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.00 League avg: 9.49
Avg. total cards 6.00 League avg: 4.50
Ascoli avg. goals 0.00 League avg: 1.28
Padova avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.28

Biggest win: Padova 1–0 Ascoli (12 Sep 26).

Ascoli vs Padova head to head: in their only meeting on file, Ascoli have not won, Padova have won once and none ended in a draw. Ascoli scored 0 goals and Padova scored 1 goal in that match. The latest meeting, on 12 Sep 2026, was won 1-0 by Padova, at home against Ascoli. At least one side failed to score. Padova kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 20 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Ascoli
  • Keeps the ball
  • Crosses and headers
  • Selective shooters
Padova
  • Cedes possession
  • Open play side
  • Shoots on sight
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    63% 1st of 20 44% 19th of 20
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 2nd of 20 0.09 xG a shot 15th of 20
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    30% of xG 6th of 20 21% of xG 17th of 20
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    24% of shots 1st of 20 19% of shots 7th of 20

Where they differ

  • Ascoli see much more of the ball than Padova, 63% against 44%.
  • Ascoli wait for better chances than Padova, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Ascoli get more of their chances from set pieces than Padova, 30% against 21%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Ascoli Padova
15 (1.5 avg) Goals 11 (1.1 avg)
137 (13.7 avg) Total Shots 109 (10.9 avg)
45 (4.5 avg) Shots on Target 33 (3.3 avg)
32 (3.2 avg) Blocked Shots 28 (2.8 avg)
67 (6.7 avg) Corners 44 (4.4 avg)
564 (94.0 avg) Attacks 457 (76.2 avg)
293 (48.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks 203 (33.8 avg)
114 (11.4 avg) Key Passes 82 (8.2 avg)
5126 (512.6 avg) Passes 3891 (389.1 avg)
4512 (88%) Pass Accuracy 3153 (81%)
63% Ball Possession 44%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Ascoli Padova
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
18 (1.8 avg) Yellow Cards 22 (2.2 avg)
135 (13.5 avg) Tackles 181 (18.1 avg)
99 (9.9 avg) Fouls 119 (11.9 avg)
18 (2.0 avg) Offsides 28 (2.8 avg)
467 (46.7 avg) Duels Won 467 (46.7 avg)
102 (10.2 avg) Aerial Duels Won 125 (12.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Ascoli

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Padova

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)