Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz

Sat 09 Jan, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 15 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Borussia Dortmund win · Most likely 57.7%

Draw 21.7%

Mainz win 20.6%

Event markets

Both teams to score 65%Avg 59%

Over 1.5 goals 85%Avg 82%

Over 2.5 goals 66%Avg 62%

Borussia Dortmund clean sheet 28%Avg 26%

Mainz clean sheet 11%Avg 21%

Over 8.5 corners 73%Avg 62%

Over 9.5 corners 61%Avg 52%

Over 2.5 cards 78%Avg 72%

Over 3.5 cards 58%Avg 54%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.6%

2-07.4%

3-16.9%

Team comparison

Borussia Dortmund
Mainz

Did you know?

Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in their last 8 matches.
Borussia Dortmund beat Mainz 4-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
Borussia Dortmund have won 7 of their last 10 matches (all competitions).
Mainz's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Feb 26	Borussia Dortmund	4–0	Mainz
27 Sep 25	Mainz	0–2	Borussia Dortmund
30 Mar 25	Borussia Dortmund	3–1	Mainz
09 Nov 24	Mainz	3–1	Borussia Dortmund
11 May 24	Mainz	3–0	Borussia Dortmund
19 Dec 23	Borussia Dortmund	1–1	Mainz
27 May 23	Borussia Dortmund	2–2	Mainz
25 Jan 23	Mainz	1–2	Borussia Dortmund
16 Mar 22	Mainz	0–1	Borussia Dortmund
16 Oct 21	Borussia Dortmund	3–1	Mainz
16 May 21	Mainz	1–3	Borussia Dortmund
16 Jan 21	Borussia Dortmund	1–1	Mainz
17 Jun 20	Borussia Dortmund	0–2	Mainz
14 Dec 19	Mainz	0–4	Borussia Dortmund
13 Apr 19	Borussia Dortmund	2–1	Mainz
24 Nov 18	Mainz	1–2	Borussia Dortmund

16meetings

Borussia Dortmund win · 10 (62%)
Draw · 3 (19%)
Mainz win · 3 (19%)

Avg. total goals 3.06 League avg: 3.20

Over 2.5 goals 69% League avg: 62%

Both teams to score 62% League avg: 59%

Whoever hosts wins 38% League avg: 42%

Avg. total corners 8.00 League avg: 9.96

Avg. total cards 3.62 League avg: 3.82

Borussia Dortmund avg. goals 1.94 League avg: 1.60

Mainz avg. goals 1.12 League avg: 1.60

Biggest win: Borussia Dortmund 4–0 Mainz (13 Feb 26).

Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Borussia Dortmund have won 10 times, Mainz have won 3 times and 3 ended in a draw. Borussia Dortmund scored 31 goals and Mainz scored 18 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 13 Feb 2026, was won 4-0 by Borussia Dortmund, at home against Mainz. Borussia Dortmund have won each of the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 10 of 16 and 11 had over 2.5 goals. Borussia Dortmund kept 4 clean sheets and Mainz kept 2.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

11 (1.8 avg) Goals 14 (2.3 avg)

91 (15.2 avg) Total Shots 106 (17.7 avg)

32 (5.3 avg) Shots on Target 36 (6.0 avg)

22 (3.7 avg) Blocked Shots 26 (4.3 avg)

29 (4.8 avg) Corners 29 (4.8 avg)

706 (117.7 avg) Attacks 628 (104.7 avg)

329 (54.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks 318 (53.0 avg)

72 (12.0 avg) Key Passes 81 (13.5 avg)

3178 (529.7 avg) Passes 2676 (446.0 avg)

2702 (85%) Pass Accuracy 2139 (80%)

55% Ball Possession 51%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

1 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)

15 (2.5 avg) Yellow Cards 14 (2.3 avg)

99 (16.5 avg) Tackles 102 (17.0 avg)

67 (11.2 avg) Fouls 83 (13.8 avg)

9 (1.5 avg) Offsides 12 (2.0 avg)

300 (50.0 avg) Duels Won 315 (52.5 avg)

88 (14.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 124 (20.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Borussia Dortmund

1.5Goals

Under · 3 (30%)
Over · 7 (70%)

7.5Corners

Under · 3 (33%)
Over · 6 (67%)

2.5Goals

Under · 5 (50%)
Over · 5 (50%)

8.5Corners

Under · 5 (56%)
Over · 4 (44%)

3.5Goals

Under · 6 (60%)
Over · 4 (40%)

9.5Corners

Under · 6 (67%)
Over · 3 (33%)

Yes · 6 (60%)
No · 4 (40%)

BTTS

Yes · 3 (30%)
No · 7 (70%)

Mainz