Carrarese vs Ascoli

Sat 01 May, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 36 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Carrarese win · Most likely 40.8%
Draw 30.9%
Ascoli win 28.3%

Limited history for Ascoli. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 52%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 71%Avg 76%
Over 2.5 goals 44%Avg 48%
Carrarese clean sheet 33%Avg 31%
Ascoli clean sheet 26%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 65%Avg 57%
Over 9.5 corners 52%Avg 46%
Over 2.5 cards 82%Avg 84%
Over 3.5 cards 64%Avg 70%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-010.2%
2-18.8%
2-07.6%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Carrarese
  • Ascoli

Did you know?

  • Ascoli are unbeaten in their last 7 matches.
  • Ascoli's matches have stayed under 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Ascoli's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 9 (corner data on file).
  • Carrarese have won just 3 of their last 10 matches.

H2H

All 1 meeting on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
29 Aug 26 Ascoli 1–1 Carrarese
1meetings
  • Carrarese win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 1 (100%)
  • Ascoli win · 0 (0%)
Avg. total goals 2.00 League avg: 2.56
Over 2.5 goals 0% League avg: 48%
Both teams to score 100% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 0% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 19.00 League avg: 9.49
Avg. total cards 7.00 League avg: 4.50
Carrarese avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.28
Ascoli avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.28

Carrarese vs Ascoli head to head: in their only meeting on file, Carrarese have not won, Ascoli have not won and 1 ended in a draw. Carrarese scored 1 goal and Ascoli scored 1 goal in that match. The latest meeting, on 29 Aug 2026, ended 1-1 at Ascoli. Both teams scored. Neither side has kept a clean sheet against the other.

How they play

Each line runs across the 20 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Carrarese
  • Open play side
Ascoli
  • Keeps the ball
  • Crosses and headers
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    48% 13th of 20 63% 1st of 20
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.10 xG a shot 8th of 20 0.11 xG a shot 2nd of 20
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    21% of xG 16th of 20 30% of xG 6th of 20
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    17% of shots 11th of 20 24% of shots 1st of 20

Where they differ

  • Ascoli see much more of the ball than Carrarese, 63% against 48%.
  • Ascoli get more of their chances from set pieces than Carrarese, 30% against 21%.
  • Ascoli go more through the air than Carrarese, 24% of shots against 17%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Carrarese Ascoli
9 (0.9 avg) Goals 15 (1.5 avg)
130 (13.0 avg) Total Shots 137 (13.7 avg)
36 (3.6 avg) Shots on Target 45 (4.5 avg)
31 (3.1 avg) Blocked Shots 32 (3.2 avg)
51 (5.1 avg) Corners 67 (6.7 avg)
372 (74.4 avg) Attacks 564 (94.0 avg)
186 (37.2 avg) Dangerous Attacks 293 (48.8 avg)
101 (10.1 avg) Key Passes 114 (11.4 avg)
4222 (422.2 avg) Passes 5126 (512.6 avg)
3473 (82%) Pass Accuracy 4512 (88%)
46% Ball Possession 63%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Carrarese Ascoli
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
21 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 18 (1.8 avg)
163 (16.3 avg) Tackles 135 (13.5 avg)
143 (14.3 avg) Fouls 99 (9.9 avg)
10 (1.2 avg) Offsides 18 (2.0 avg)
493 (49.3 avg) Duels Won 467 (46.7 avg)
146 (14.6 avg) Aerial Duels Won 102 (10.2 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Carrarese

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 10 (100%)
  • Over · 0 (0%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Ascoli

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)